Jul
04
2010
1

Pollster hammers in some nails to the R2000 coffin.

Much as I’d like the dKos/R2000 dustup to be the metaphorical equivalent of this, Mark Blumenthal’s comments here suggest that Research 2000 is, well, toast.

By far the most troubling part of [Research 2000 president Del] Ali’s response comes in these two sentences (left in their original form including typographical errors):

Regardless though. to you so-called polling experts, each sub grouping, gender, race, party ID, etc must equal the top line number or come pretty darn close. Yes we weight heavily and I will, using te margin of error adjust the top line and when adjusted under my discretion as both a pollster and social scientist, therefore all sub groups must be adjusted as well.

“Top line” in this context means the results for the full sample rather than a subgroup, but it still unclear exactly which “top line numbers” Ali is referring to. If he means the results of attitude questions — vote preference horse-race numbers, favorable ratings, issue questions or possibly even the party identification question — he comes close to admitting a practice that every pollster I know would consider deceptive and unethical. “Scientific” political surveys are supposed to provide objective measurements of attitudes and preferences. As such pollsters and social scientists never have the “discretion” to simply “adjust” the substantive results of their surveys, within the margin of error or otherwise. As a pollster friend put it in an email he sent me a few minutes after reading Ali’s statement: “That’s not polling. It’s Jeanne Dixon polling.”

(more…)

Jul
04
2010
--

The only Porsche I’ll ever be able to afford.

Via The Manolo

…and I find this to be pretty cool, really. Even if it’s just an art project.

Jul
04
2010
1

#rsrh My mea culpa for the USA.

It being the 234th anniversary of the USA and all that, I thought that I should pass along my country’s collective regret: (more…)

Jul
04
2010
1

The Bizarro Three Wolf Moon Shirt!

Fear it.

I fully intend to staple this together to the real one and see what happens.

Jul
04
2010
--

Alexi Giannoulias (D), call your office.

I understand that the man is desperate to escape to Washington, DC – but the bills are piling up.  And I am not being figurative in the slightest:

Even by the standards of this deficit-ridden state, Illinois’s comptroller, Daniel W. Hynes, faces an ugly balance sheet. Precisely how ugly becomes clear when he beckons you into his office to examine his daily briefing memo.

He picks the papers off his desk and points to a figure in red: $5.01 billion.

“This is what the state owes right now to schools, rehabilitation centers, child care, the state university – and it’s getting worse every single day,” he says in his downtown office.

Mr. Hynes shakes his head. “This is not some esoteric budget issue; we are not paying bills for absolutely essential services,” he says. “That is obscene.”

(more…)

Jul
03
2010
4

#rsrh Obamaspill Schism?

For once, Anderson Cooper gets it more or less right that when it comes to Obamaspill when he notes that the regular media is not the enemy.

To this administration, the regular media are instead vile and impious heretics, and if they do not like being told that they may not get within 65 feet of any direct evidence of the federal government’s failure to master the spill, well… perhaps they should consider themselves fortunate.  Another age would have them be the centerpiece to an auto de fe for their obstinacy. (more…)

Jul
03
2010
2

So. This is nature.

Deer.

Turkey.

I’m glad to see that nature is doing so well. No, really. It’s quite heartening. Whatever it’s doing, it should keep on doing that.

Moe Lane

Jul
03
2010
1

#rsrh Don Surber is a bad, bad man.

I don’t know whether he did this or just found this…

…but the last three words resonate: Remember In November.

Moe Lane (more…)

Jul
03
2010
3

Crazed Sex Poodle update.

This week was the calm before the storm: they’ve reopened the case, possibly because there may be DNA evidence on a pair of pants, and possibly because it looks bad when there’s even a suggestion that the rich and powerful can count on sexual assault allegations… going away.  Meanwhile, via Instapundit, Politico is reporting that the story is going mainstream in the national media.  Hillbuzz notes that, more importantly, it’s hitting entertainment sources like EW and People.  Why is that more important? Let them explain:

Here’s something we keep telling just about every conservative we ever meet, but none of them seem to listen:  the entertainment industry matters because more people read People, Entertainment Weekly, Perez Hilton, Deadline Hollywood Daily, Aint It Cool News, Dark Horizons, and other entertainment sites than read many of the political sites combined.

(more…)

Jul
03
2010
--

#rsrh QotD, Maggie Thatcher edition.

From Hillbuzz, on the news that HEY THEY’RE GOING TO MAKE A MOVIE ABOUT MAGGIE THATCHER!

Hollywood’s reporting Meryl Streep’s next project will be portraying Baroness Thatcher in a new film called “Iron Lady”, which will depict her time as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom. Someone at the Academy should probably just start carving her name onto the Oscar already, because Meryl Streep + portraying a historical figure = Oscar nomination at the least. Considering the fact Helen Mirren and Forest Whitacker both won recently for playing Queen Elizabeth II and Idi Amin (respectively, as if that wasn’t already clear), and Dame Judi Dench has won for playing the OTHER Queen Elizabeth, this looks like a lock for Best Actress. And, of course, by this logic, Will Smith will win an Oscar for depicting America’s current queen, “Miss Thang”, whenever they get around to filming the Obama movie, which was at first rumored to be called “Hope and Change” but is now in development under the new working title “Chaos and Ineptitude”.

Does it count if I’m just quoting it? (more…)

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Jul
03
2010
1

Battle of Gettysburg Memorial Open Thread.

Strictly speaking, neither the speech below – or Charles Loughton’s pitch-perfect recitation of it – are part of the battle itself; Abraham Lincoln made the Gettysburg address in November of 1863. I just don’t care, and I don’t think that anybody else will really care, either. Have a good weekend.

Open thread.

(more…)

Jul
02
2010
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“No More Kings.”

Sent to me by a colleague, and damn straight.


“No More Kings,” Schoolhouse Rock!

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