Map generated via 270 to Win: and it’s based, more or less, on this Gallup report that the Democratic party’s partisan affiliation advantage has taken a nose-dive in state after state. I say more or less because I looked at the numbers, noted that they were based on registered voters, then applied the usual rough-and-tumble conversion (essentially, you add or subtract two points in favor of the GOP to any registered voter sample to get an idea of what the likely voter results are going to be). This gives us a 272/266 squeaker in favor of the GOP… and a photo-finish in Florida.
Because the second time as farce, that’s why.
PS: Eagle-eyed readers will note that Kentucky and West Virginia are listed as blue states in this scenario. That’s a bit problematical, sure – but then if Obama doesn’t dump his current Vice Albatross and replace him with somebody who can let the Democrats compete in the Mississippi River valley then the President is doomed anyway.