…over at RedState; specifically how he (and a bunch of others, explicitly including me*) got the results wrong. Short version: ayup, the state polls were the true quill in this one. It’s tempting to get into explanations and conjectures, but the truth of the matter is that I calculated it wrong. In 2012 we had an Obama +6 electorate.
Some people reading this are nastily smiling right now. And some people reading this are suddenly smiling right now. Spoiler warning: it’s the latter folks who should be.
Have a nice day!
*For the record: this was the map in my head. Which is a primary reason why I resisted declaring DOOM, thank God. Well, that’s my lesson: when the heart is telling you not to invoke DOOM, listen.