I may just link to other people today: it’s been a goram long week and I’d like to get some actual creative, non-political work done. Anyway, James Taranto on gun control polls:
The senators who voted down the gun-control measures did so on the basis of a deeper understanding of the constituents they represent than can be conveyed by a single number from an opinion poll. They’re professional politicians, and they managed to get elected, in most cases from states Barack Obama never managed to carry. If they misjudged popular opinion, they can be voted out of office. It’s an example of representative democracy at its best.
When fascist or socialist movements have managed to gain a foothold, it has been by appeal to a pre-existing organic source of identity, whether national, ethnic or religious. Today’s dominant strain of American leftist thought is multiculturalist, not nationalist, which means leftist identity politics is mostly a matter of trying to forge alliances among disparate and potentially antipathetic ethnic and other identity groups.
Multiculturalism is pernicious in many ways, but perhaps its only virtue is that it is self-limiting because the identity coalitions on which it relies are inherently unstable. The left’s desperate attempts to conjure up a 90% or 99% supermajority are reflections of weakness, not strength.
I never trust confident assertions that X Will Win/Lose In 20YY. Yes, even the ones that I make. Especially the ones that I make. But optimism is a life choice. And a healthier one that most, I’m thinking.