You have to skip through quite a lot of garbage about racism and the South to get to the meat of this Guardian post*, but it’s kind of worth it:
What needs to be pointed out, however, is that most of Obama’s current approval slide likely isn’t because of racism.
The greatest fall for Obama isn’t among whites in the south; it’s in the northeast – you know that region that was on the correct side of the Civil War. Obama went from winning northern whites by 10pt in the election to a -12 net approval now. The next greatest drop is in the west where Obama fought to a near-tie in the election, but now has a net approval of nearly -20 among white voters. Close is his 14pt drop in the midwest where Obama’s net approval is now a measly -23pt.
The one place where Obama’s support among whites hasn’t fallen sharply is in the south. Obama’s net approval there is only a statistically insignificant 3pt lower than it was before the election. In other words, it’s likely he completely bottomed out in that region. Lack of white support for Obama hasn’t bottomed out in other regions.
Indifferent news for Barack Obama – he won, remember**? – but horrible news for any Democratic Presidential candidate that can be unambiguously (or even credibly) linked to the Obama administration. I dunno: do the Democrats have any of those planning to run in 2016?
Study: Obama’s approval drop not due to racism, but long-term trend of whites w/o degrees leaving the Democrat party. http://t.co/vmb9nWQY8C
— Razor (@hale_razor) August 11, 2013
*I find it fascinating when white liberals are shocked to discover that their five decades of steady attacks on a geographical area have eventually and inevitably resulted in voters from that area making the decision to not vote for white liberals. Sean Trende’s The Lost Majority explains why well enough, IIRC, but here’s the gist: the liberal wing of the Democratic party cut off the conservative wing at the root. Conservative Southern Democrats started dying of old age. Their conservative children decided to go vote for Republicans, who actually wanted them. Eventually state legislatures started flipping. The end.
**Barack Obama also knows full well that he’ll pretty quickly rebound in popularity once he stops being President. And he will: I suggest that nobody emulate the BDS people and expect that Obama will be a name that will live in infamy. You will spend the next twenty years or so being mildly annoyed if you do.