Jan
29
2014

Democratic state-party advantage severely eroded from 2008.

This is a complex kind of situation, actually:

The Democratic Party’s advantage in the states was halved last year, continuing a dramatic multi-year decline.

In 2008, Democrats had a 30-state advantage in party affiliation over Republicans, according to state-level Gallup surveys. Last year, that advantage among states fell to just three.

With 36 governorships and 36 Senate seats on the line in this year’s midterm elections and Democrats trying to protect Senate seats in the solid-red states of South Dakota, Montana and Alaska, Republicans have reason for optimism.

If you look at the map you’ll see that this doesn’t mean, particularly, that the Democrats are in severe trouble in their core 2016 areas:

…but it does mean that in 2014 the Democrats are going to have a bit of a problem in taking back a lot of the governorships and state legislatures that we took away from them in 2010.  Which means that they’re going to have a bit of a problem in 2020: much like the problem that we had in 2008 (not enough good Presidential candidates).  And so the Wheel turns, turns, turns…

Moe Lane

2 Comments

  • Catseyes says:

    The O’bama years are turning into a disaster for the Democrats.

    • acat says:

      Eh, the Dems will just shift back to the kind of “delay and splinter” strategy they deployed (successfully) during Reagan and Bush 2.0’s terms.
      .
      Their willing sycophant accomplices in the media will play along, and a few of Obama’s minor accomplishments will be washed away… .
      .
      The major ones, corruption of the executive, Obamacare, etc. they will fight tooth and nail to keep, splitting off the statist scum among the gutless D.C. Repukes to keep.
      .
      Take a look at the current “farm” bill if you don’t believe.
      .
      Mew

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