…but I know damned well that his devotees will care, so here you go:
Nate Silver, the former New York Times analyst who rose to prominence after correctly predicted every state that voted for Barack Obama in 2012, gave the Republican Party a 60 percent chance of retaking the Senate in November — a chilling prospect for Democrats who once found Silver’s predictions comforting.
Be sure to write those checks out to your party anyway, Democrats! Sure, that money will just be thrown away, but that’s what Democratic donors are there for.
PS: What’s that? Why don’t I care? Because Nate Silver is really, really good at telling people stuff that they already know. And, admittedly, at pegging that state polls > national ones in 2012. I anticipate with some interest how the man will ‘prognosticate’ 2016, given that it’ll be an election where the GOP starts off with the advantage… but I digress. My point is that I didn’t need Silver to tell me that the Senate was sliding off of the beam for Democrats; and, frankly, if he was saying the opposite it wouldn’t particularly worry me, either (see the PPS).
PPS: It should also be noted that Silver got the 2012 Senate elections wrong: he had us gaining half a seat, and of course we ended up losing two. I mention this solely because I enjoy watching a certain class of partisan instantly turn on their perceived betrayers.