Oct
20
2014
1

Quote of the Day, The Democrats Now Just Counting The Days edition.

Sean Trende wrote a very useful post on the polls today that the Democrats will utterly refuse to heed:

The bottom line is that we have neither the data nor well-tested theories to explain what sort of skew we should expect this cycle. For my money, there are two races where I really take charges of poll skew seriously: Alaska, where seven of the last seven races have understated Republican strength (by seven points on average), and Colorado, where the introduction of mail voting probably does make the electorate difficult to model. Beyond that, I would not be surprised if there was a Republican skew, but I likewise would not be surprised if there was a Democratic skew. The possibilities basically cancel out, and I’m left with the simple poll averages as the best guidance for this election.

…because, of course, the simple poll averages are currently spelling out D-O-O-M for Democrats. And, given that we have only two weeks left before the elections, if the Democrats admit that now then – well, then they have nothing left, do they? Except whatever’s on TV, I guess.

Oct
20
2014
2

Somebody at @TexasAFP has a truly VICIOUS sense of humor.

I approve.

Moe Lane (crosspost)

PS: It occurs to me that people who were never Democrats may not get the full effect of that poster.  Trust me: the iconography and style is deliberately designed to send Commies and/or progressives into a frothing rage, which is why Americans for Prosperity did it – and why I’m posting it on the front page here.  It really and truly is a calculated vicious insult, on a variety of levels… (more…)

Oct
20
2014
0

Two weeks in, and things are not going according to the Democrats’ plan.

Some interesting articles out there on Obama, and his influence on various demographics.

Like, say, women:

Female voters powered President Barack Obama’s victory over Mitt Romney in 2012, as Democrats leaned heavily on social issues to rally single women and suburban moms to the polls.

But with two weeks until Election Day, the president’s diminished standing with women is quickly becoming one of the biggest liabilities facing Democrats as they struggle to hang onto the Senate majority.

(more…)

Oct
20
2014
3

Sean Eldridge puts another half-million in his Congressional cosplay experience*.

Don’t think of it as stuffing money down a hole in the ground, Sean Eldridge.

Facebook spouse and carpet-bagging Democrat Sean Eldridge poured another half-million dollars into his own New York congressional campaign this month.

Eldridge, the husband of Facebook co-founder and New Republic owner Chris Hughes, has now donated $1.84 million to his own campaign.

Think of it as stuffing money down a hole in the ground while we laugh at you.

Moe Lane

*Well, it certainly wasn’t a viable political campaign, was it?

Oct
19
2014
1

If the Clintons were serious about the South, they’d stump in West Virginia.

Let’s just establish something right here, right now:

Self-proclaimed Clinton Democrats are struggling this election cycle, and not even their powerful namesakes may be enough to save them.

Both Bill and Hillary Clinton have tried to turn on their charms to help centrist Democrats in Kentucky and Arkansas. But as candidates in both states are slipping, help from the party’s preeminent power couple is falling short.

…the article goes on to claim that in 2016 Bill and Hillary Clinton may be regional powerhouses in the South anyway.  And that’s something that is completely at odds with the actual truth, which is that the Clintons know full well that they’re not going to make a darn bit of difference in the South. And how do I know that? Easy. They’re going to Kentucky and Arkansas: two states where the Democratic candidate will lose and it won’t actually be the Clintons’ fault.  Both Mark Pryor and Alison Grimes have run poor campaigns against Tom Cotton and Mitch McConnell: there’s no real demographic benefit that Hillary or Bill Clinton could give those two, and pretty much everybody knows it.

(more…)

Oct
18
2014
5

Why Hunter Biden will get away with being thrown out of the Navy for cocaine use.

The more I read about Hunter Biden (VP Joe Biden’s son) cocaine-fueled discharge from the Navy, the more it stinks on ice:

…it is worth noting that, while Biden’s summary discharge occurred last February, it did not become public until the Wall Street Journal revealed the story this week. Biden’s statement about “the honor of my life to serve in the U.S. Navy” — for one month! — was issued through his lawyer.

Evidently there was an effort, successful for eight months, to conceal this curious episode. But while the attempted cover-up is, perhaps, understandable from Vice President Biden’s perspective, the real scandal here is not Hunter Biden’s cocaine use, or his father’s protection of an errant son, but the fact that Hunter Biden was commissioned in the naval reserve in the first place.

Well, it’s a scandal but not a surprise: Vice Presidents, believe it or not, actually have a lot of pull. Even Joe Biden.  Enough to get an unqualified and overaged son a commission, at least; and enough to delay a cocaine scandal. (more…)

Oct
18
2014
1

Quote of the Day, RELYING On The Ground Game Is A Bad Sign edition.

Don’t get me wrong: Barack Obama’s 2008 and 2012 ground game was great – at getting Barack Obama elected, at least – and the Democrats were not shy in confidently claiming that they had converted that success into a more general system that would allow them to retain the Senate and make up lost territory in the states. Which is fine: bragging is one of the pleasures of winning. One must expect it.

This is not bragging.

Democrats are praying their ground game will save them from a crushing defeat in next month’s midterm elections.

This is what you say when ‘crushing defeat’ is something that you aspire to. We’ll see how the early voting goes (check here for a good, balanced look at the running totals), but so far I’m not particularly worried about that.

Oct
16
2014
1

How do you say ‘[bleep] off, suckers!’ in Iowan regional dialect?

Well, Tom Harkin will be happy to show you how.

Despite direct appeals from Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid of Nevada and other top Democrats, Harkin has refused to transfer money from his $2.4 million campaign account to the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee, according to sources and campaign finance records.

Instead, the retiring Iowa senator has informed party leaders that he plans to use the campaign funds for a charitable contribution to an entity that bears his name: The Harkin Institute for Public Policy and Citizen Engagement at Drake University in Des Moines, according to sources close to discussions with the senator.

…That may be the funniest thing that I read all day.  No, wait, this is: (more…)

Oct
16
2014
5

Which consultant told Democratic candidates to refuse to say that they voted for Obama?

Because somebody did.

CHARLESTON, WV – Today, during an editorial board meeting with the Charleston Daily Mail, Natalie Tennant refused to say that she voted for President Obama in 2012. “I voted for the Democratic Party,” she said. She also, yet again, refused to say whether she would vote for Harry Reid as Majority Leader if elected to the Senate.

Yeah, I know, doesn’t matter because it’s West Virginia, but still. Somebody told Democratic candidates that they needed to be cowards. Who, and why?

Oct
16
2014
1

Tweet of the Day, Republicans ABSOLUTELY Need To Establish A Travel Ban Position NOW edition.

Can’t add to, or subtract from, this:

…unless it’s to add this: (more…)

Oct
16
2014
2

Michael Barone: Democrats may be unwisely relying on Hispanic vote.

Interesting.

Every party has a bad offyear sometimes; Republicans did in 2006. Sooner or later they recover. But in the crosstabs of polls and in party strategists’ moves I see evidence that one group Democrats have been counting on is moving away from them: Hispanics.

Hispanics voted 71 percent for Barack Obama in 2012, 20 points above his national average of 51 percent. According to Gallup, Hispanics’ latest Obama job approval has sunk to 44 percent, just 3 points above the national average.

You probably haven’t heard much about this because Hispanics are scarce in all but one of the states with serious Senate races this year.

Michael Barone went on to note some potential examples of this dissatisfaction. To begin with, the DCCC has abandoned three challengers (one in Colorado, two in California), all three of whom were considered good pickup opportunities because of large Hispanic populations. There was also the Angela Giron recall election in Colorado’s state Senate: Geron lost her recall despite representing a district that was over 40% Hispanic. Lastly: the poor showing of Wendy Davis in the Texas governor’s race is for many reasons, to be sure… but the fact that she did horribly among Hispanic voters in the primary is probably not one of the least of those reasons.

All in all, there is some argument to be made that Hispanic voters are not nearly as reliable for Democrats as the Democrats would like to think. This is not to say, of course, that the standard Republican gambit – Give them immigration reform / pro-life legislation!* – is actually any better.  I think that what is happening here is that both parties are trying to imagine what Hispanic voters should be collectively interested in, and catering to that: which is admittedly easier than figuring out what those voters are actually interested in, but not necessarily smarter. Or even smart at all, really. After all, in a binary situation like this somebody has to be ‘right:’ but if the party that’s ‘right’ learns the wrong lessons from it, they’ll pay for it pretty quickly next time… and probably then the other party will learn the wrong lessons from that, too.
Oh, well, I guess that it keeps the consultants paid.
Moe Lane
*Depending on who you ask.

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