Don’t embrace Teh Crazy, Ancient Regime Dude. Don’t embrace Teh Crazy, Anc… oh, look. You embraced Teh Crazy.
She’ll either think it’s perfect, or tell me everything that’s wrong with it. Or both.
Sean Trende wrote a very useful post on the polls today that the Democrats will utterly refuse to heed:
The bottom line is that we have neither the data nor well-tested theories to explain what sort of skew we should expect this cycle. For my money, there are two races where I really take charges of poll skew seriously: Alaska, where seven of the last seven races have understated Republican strength (by seven points on average), and Colorado, where the introduction of mail voting probably does make the electorate difficult to model. Beyond that, I would not be surprised if there was a Republican skew, but I likewise would not be surprised if there was a Democratic skew. The possibilities basically cancel out, and I’m left with the simple poll averages as the best guidance for this election.
…because, of course, the simple poll averages are currently spelling out D-O-O-M for Democrats. And, given that we have only two weeks left before the elections, if the Democrats admit that now then – well, then they have nothing left, do they? Except whatever’s on TV, I guess.
Get a head start by voting early this year! Early voting in Texas starts October 20th and ends October 31st. pic.twitter.com/b6LMyUIpmy
— AFP – Texas (@TexasAFP) October 20, 2014
Moe Lane (crosspost)
PS: It occurs to me that people who were never Democrats may not get the full effect of that poster. Trust me: the iconography and style is deliberately designed to send Commies and/or progressives into a frothing rage, which is why Americans for Prosperity did it – and why I’m posting it on the front page here. It really and truly is a calculated vicious insult, on a variety of levels… (more…)
Some interesting articles out there on Obama, and his influence on various demographics.
Like, say, women:
Female voters powered President Barack Obama’s victory over Mitt Romney in 2012, as Democrats leaned heavily on social issues to rally single women and suburban moms to the polls.
But with two weeks until Election Day, the president’s diminished standing with women is quickly becoming one of the biggest liabilities facing Democrats as they struggle to hang onto the Senate majority.
Don’t think of it as stuffing money down a hole in the ground, Sean Eldridge.
Facebook spouse and carpet-bagging Democrat Sean Eldridge poured another half-million dollars into his own New York congressional campaign this month.
Eldridge, the husband of Facebook co-founder and New Republic owner Chris Hughes, has now donated $1.84 million to his own campaign.
Think of it as stuffing money down a hole in the ground while we laugh at you.
*Well, it certainly wasn’t a viable political campaign, was it?
Actually, the recommendation is for all three books in Ian Tregellis’s Milkweed Triptych (Bitter Seeds is merely the first of the three), but the series is not yet in omnibus form. The series is very much alternate history horror (Second World War era), with definite elements of unapologetic cosmic horror. I enjoyed all three books in the series, for given values of ‘enjoyed;’ horrible place to visit, and danged certain that I’d never want to live there, but the locale has its charms. Again, for given values of ‘charmed’ and all that.
Adieu, Quatermass and the Pit: Five Million Years to Earth (BFI Film Classics). Your time will come! Soon. Soon.
Let’s just establish something right here, right now:
Self-proclaimed Clinton Democrats are struggling this election cycle, and not even their powerful namesakes may be enough to save them.
Both Bill and Hillary Clinton have tried to turn on their charms to help centrist Democrats in Kentucky and Arkansas. But as candidates in both states are slipping, help from the party’s preeminent power couple is falling short.
…the article goes on to claim that in 2016 Bill and Hillary Clinton may be regional powerhouses in the South anyway. And that’s something that is completely at odds with the actual truth, which is that the Clintons know full well that they’re not going to make a darn bit of difference in the South. And how do I know that? Easy. They’re going to Kentucky and Arkansas: two states where the Democratic candidate will lose and it won’t actually be the Clintons’ fault. Both Mark Pryor and Alison Grimes have run poor campaigns against Tom Cotton and Mitch McConnell: there’s no real demographic benefit that Hillary or Bill Clinton could give those two, and pretty much everybody knows it.
The more I read about Hunter Biden (VP Joe Biden’s son) cocaine-fueled discharge from the Navy, the more it stinks on ice:
…it is worth noting that, while Biden’s summary discharge occurred last February, it did not become public until the Wall Street Journal revealed the story this week. Biden’s statement about “the honor of my life to serve in the U.S. Navy” — for one month! — was issued through his lawyer.
Evidently there was an effort, successful for eight months, to conceal this curious episode. But while the attempted cover-up is, perhaps, understandable from Vice President Biden’s perspective, the real scandal here is not Hunter Biden’s cocaine use, or his father’s protection of an errant son, but the fact that Hunter Biden was commissioned in the naval reserve in the first place.
Well, it’s a scandal but not a surprise: Vice Presidents, believe it or not, actually have a lot of pull. Even Joe Biden. Enough to get an unqualified and overaged son a commission, at least; and enough to delay a cocaine scandal. (more…)
Don’t get me wrong: Barack Obama’s 2008 and 2012 ground game was great – at getting Barack Obama elected, at least – and the Democrats were not shy in confidently claiming that they had converted that success into a more general system that would allow them to retain the Senate and make up lost territory in the states. Which is fine: bragging is one of the pleasures of winning. One must expect it.
Democrats are praying their ground game will save them from a crushing defeat in next month’s midterm elections.
This is what you say when ‘crushing defeat’ is something that you aspire to. We’ll see how the early voting goes (check here for a good, balanced look at the running totals), but so far I’m not particularly worried about that.