The bolded part is simply good, self-evident sense:
African-Americans are disproportionately affected by gun violence, and many black leaders are among the most vocal advocates of gun control. But there is a segment of the black community that believes gun ownership has helped keep them alive through several generations, and won’t give them up.
Damn straight they shouldn’t. The situation in Dizzy City is complicated by the fact that the District has a frankly unconstitutional and even more frankly useless gun control regime attached to it; so, technically, even the responsible gun owners there are doing something illegal. But that could be fixed with some rational gun laws*.
*The kind that you get when you actually read the actual Constitution, and not the version that that one professor in college taught. You know the guy I’m talking about. The ultra liberal who went to the other side of the street whenever he saw an African-American approaching.
…a return to pre-2008 African-American turnout levels wouldn’t necessarily doom a Hillary Clinton candidacy, but it would leave her with a whole lot less margin for error in a host of swing states. For example, in Virginia, what if the African-American share of the vote had been 18 percent instead of 20 percent in 2012? We estimate Obama would have won by 1.6 percent, rather than 3.9 percent. In Ohio, what if it had been 13 percent instead of 15 percent? We estimate Obama would have won by 0.8 percent, not 3.0 percent. In Pennsylvania, what if it had been 11 percent instead of 13 percent? Obama’s edge would have shrunk from 5.4 percent to 3.4 percent.
The surge of this solidly Democratic bloc has masked Democrats’ downturn with working-class whites, who gave Obama just 36 percent nationally in 2012. According to our calculations, if the African-American share of the electorate were to drop two points in 2016, Hillary Clinton would need to do about 1.5 percent better than Obama did among all white voters just to offset that decline – a realistic goal, but one that would require reversing the party’s current trajectory with whites.
Continue reading Cook Political Report: Hillary Clinton absolutely NEEDS black voters.