You know, when I heard a few days ago that beleaguered freshman Democrat Kyrsten Sinema was thinking from switching from her unpleasantly (to her) competitive AZ-09 seat to the much more suitable (for her) AZ-07 seat, I was… skeptical. Basically, the long-time Democratic incumbent in AZ-07 (Ed Pastor) is retiring after this term, and while I can understand Sinema’s presumed logic there (it’s a hardcore D+16 seat; whoever wins the Democratic primary there probably wins the election) the truth is that a lot of people in the Arizona Democratic party would rightly see the switch as a net loss. This is a bad year for a Democrat to win an open R+1 seat, which is what the situation would be in AZ-09 if Sinema switches: if that happens, the Democrats go from having a tough fight that they might win to having a tough fight that they’d likely lose. I assumed, in other words, that basic tactical reality would inform the Congresswoman’s choices.
PHOENIX – The Arizona Republican Party filed a complaint today with the Federal Elections Commission against a pro-Ann Kirkpatrick ad currently running on television in Arizona. The complaint argues that the television ad violates federal laws that prohibit coordination between candidates and Super PACs.
The complain asks the FEC to immediately begin an investigation into the ad.
The ad, which is running on Phoenix television, is paid for by House Majority PAC, a Democrat Super PAC that supports Democrat Congresswoman Ann Kirkpatrick. It includes footage produced and posted on the internet that had been created and paid for by the Kirkpatrick campaign. Under FEC laws, this makes the ad an illegal in-kind contribution, by the PAC, to the Kirkpatrick campaign because it uses property owned by the Kirkpatrick campaign.
In 2010, Ann Kirkpatrick was a key vote for Obamacare. This is a thing that happened. It, in fact, cost her the 2010 election.
Freshman Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick (D-Ariz.) will vote for the healthcare reform bill that will soon hit the House floor.
Kirkpatrick’s support is a boost for President Barack Obama and Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.), who are trying to corral 216 votes to clear the legislation through the lower chamber.
Heaven? This – Chino Bandido, a combination Chinese-Jamaican-Mexican place that apparently Does Not Suck – exists:
— jon gabriel (@exjon) November 3, 2013
Hell? This exists… in Arizona. Which is far too far away for me to drive tonight.
[UPDATE] Or maybe the question is moot:
— Arizona Luke (@ArizonaLuke) June 12, 2013
And by ‘interesting’ I mean ‘savage.’
Republican legislative leaders are not happy with Gov. Jan Brewer calling a special session to prompt votes on a $1.6 billion Medicaid expansion she supports.
Brewer, also a Republican, called the session to have legislators vote on the state budget and the Medicaid expansion, which leverages money from President Barack Obama’s Affordable Care Act.
The short version: on Friday morning the US Social Security office at Casa Grande, Arizona, was targeted by an IED. Fortunately, nobody was hurt; and equally fortunately, they have already have a suspect in custody. His name is Abdullatif A. Aldosary, and you know where this is going, don’t you? …By the way, if you write the name out as “Abdul Latif Al-Dosari” you get a partial match with a guy (“Juma-Mohammed-Abdul-Latif-Al-Dosari“) who we have in custody already; I mention this not because it’s the same guy (it’s not), but because somebody else is going to notice that anyway, so we might as well establish that it isn’t the same person now.
At any rate, The PJ Tatler has a roundup of the coverage, or lack thereof (including a hysterical oopsie from at least one Online Left site on how this guy was clearly the vanguard of a bunch of right-wing small-government pipe bombers**). The problem here is not so much whether or not the Casa Grande bombing was part of an organized Islamist conspiracy: the fact that it detonated when the building was empty would actually argue against that. Islamist terrorists have never shown any interest in minimizing civilian casualties. No, the real problem here is that the Media – and, to the extent that they can be distinguished these days, the Obama administration – is so absolutely bound and determined to gateway the heck out of potentially awkward news, up to and including trying to downplay inconvenient details about any of the individuals featured in said news.
Richard Carmona (D CAND, AZ-SEN) REALLY wants you to know that he denies ever screaming at that woman.
You hear that? He says that it never happened. Richard Carmona will be happy to keep telling you that, too. Over and over and over again.
Background here: the short version is that Carmona’s former boss cut an ad for Jeff Flake documenting alleged crypto-stalking behavior and general anger management issues (as in, Carmona can’t manage his) shown towards said boss by the candidate. Given Carmona’s past history, particularly towards female managers, you can understand why Carmona would want to deny the charges.
Eighteen times, in a single interview. Just in case you didn’t hear him any of the other times, apparently. (more…)
Let me just list the House races that Democratic strategists are willing to admit – some, even by name! – as having been endangered by Barack Obama’s sub-par October performance. Just list.
- AZ-01 (Jonathan Paton)
- CO-03 (Rep. Scott Tipton)
- FL-18 (Rep. Allen West)
- KY-06 (Andy Barr)
- NH-02 (Rep. Charlie Bass)
- PA-12 (Keith Rothfus)
- VA-02 (Rep. Scott Rigell)
And then there’s the generic ballot, which has gone from plus-Democrat to even-steven. Also note the ostensible swing-state nature of most of the races on that list; you can be certain that official political operatives from both parties have. All in all, this is pretty good news to have, less than two weeks out – both on the Congressional, and the Presidential, level.
Needless to say, the Republicans in all of the races above could use whatever support that you can muster. The Democrats were counting on taking or holding all of those seats. Deny them the satisfaction.
This is an interesting race: the Democrats are faintly desperate to hold onto Gabby Giffords’ old seat in Arizona, to the point where they tried to suggest that a combat pilot and squadron commander was some sort of in-the-kitchen cardboard cutout for the GOP. We had a bit of a chat about that with Col. McSally, and a few other things:
…and it actually went over my usual self-imposed time limit for these things. Completely my fault; there was one extra question that I simply had to ask.
Martha McSally’s site is here. This is a pretty balanced seat, partisan-wise; it can be got.
Moe Lane (crosspost)
Pro-tip: never launch an attack ad against a candidate that allows her to make this response:
“The fact that they use this theme of Martha McSally in a kitchen cooking up recipes is … overtly sexist and insulting to any woman, but it certainly doesn’t fit specifically with me,” she said in a phone interview. “For crying out loud, I served 26 years in the military. I was too busy shooting 30 mm out of my A-10 at the Taliban and al Qaeda to spend any time in a kitchen.”
The A-10 is, of course, this:
…the Fairchild Republic A-10 Thunderbolt II, otherwise known as the ‘Warthog’ for its looks. This plane is also known as the ‘flying tank’ (because it, well, is); and as I understand it its operators are notably exempt from the casual prejudice shown by the Army and/or Marines towards USAF personnel. Possibly this is because the Warthog is used effectively and routinely in supporting ground troops. You can shoot the living heck out of a Hog and it will still ruin your day via the application of 30mm DU shells, and then fly home.
So that’s what Col. McSally was flying. Before she became a squadron commander, and while she was successfully suing the Defense Department over having to wear the abaya while in Saudi Arabia. Which is to say, [the ad that the Democrats cut] is not an accurate image – and, using the rules that Democrats themselves claim to follow, a remarkably sexist one as well. But then, I guess Pelosi is probably personally offended that McSally doesn’t have to jump through the same male-created hoops that Pelosi did in order to get ahead in politics…
PS: Tough race, but a potential upset. Martha McSally for Congress.
[Edited for clarity.]
To understand this ad from Jeff Flake whaling on Richard Carmona in the AZ-SEN race…
…you need to know the background. Essentially, the woman in the ad is former Acting Assistant HHS Secretary Cristina Beato, who was Carmona’s boss back when he was Surgeon General under GW Bush. You might remember that Mr. Carmona had an epic meltdown and public break with the previous administration over supposed politicization of science; Ms. Beato was called in to testify about that, and gave testimony about Carmona that then-Oversight chair Henry Waxman (D) promptly put on display in the bottom of a locked filing cabinet stuck in a disused lavatory with a sign on the door saying “Beware of The Leopard*.” Essentially, Beato called Carmona a liar, multiple times; painted him as a strutting, narcissistic twit who liked to brag about his access to the President; brought up Carmona’s habit of using travel allowances to get free rides home to Arizona and California; and … this bit. (more…)