Aug
31
2014
6

At-Risk Senate Seats, 08/31/2014 edition (Includes DOOM calls).

Here is my latest At-Risk races… and there are DOOM calls. Hey, it’s Labor Day Weekend. Time to start in on that.

Alaska Mark Begich High Risk
Arkansas Mark Pryor High Risk
Colorado Mark Udall Serious Risk
Iowa Retiring High Risk
Louisiana Mary Landrieu High Risk
Michigan Retiring Some Risk
Minnesota Al Franken Low Risk
Montana Retiring DOOM
New Hampshire Jeanne Shaheen Some Risk
New Mexico Tom Udall Off list
North Carolina Kay Hagan High Risk
Oregon Jeff Merkley Low Risk
South Dakota Retiring DOOM
Virginia Mark Warner Low Risk
West Virginia Retiring DOOM

(more…)

Feb
07
2014
2

At-Risk Senate Seats, 02/07/2014 edition.

As always, this is going to be a highly subjective take: my thoughts on each race after the fold. Bottom line: some shifts up, some shifts down, I took out Massachusetts and New Jersey because, really, well, some states are more likely than others.

Alaska Mark Begich Serious Risk
Arkansas Mark Pryor Serious Risk
Colorado Mark Udall Some Risk
Iowa Open Some Risk
Louisiana Mary Landrieu Serious Risk
Michigan Open Some Risk
Minnesota Al Franken Low Risk
Montana Open Serious Risk
New Hampshire Jeanne Shaheen Depends
New Mexico Tom Udall Low Risk
North Carolina Kay Hagan Serious Risk
Oregon Jeff Merkley Some Risk
South Dakota Open Serious Risk
Virginia Mark Warner Some Risk
West Virginia Open Serious Risk

(Previous ranking here) (more…)

May
22
2013
14

At-risk Senate seats, 05/22/2013 assessment.

Here’s my current list: as always, this is a subjective take.  Brief explanations after the fold; I will note that candidate recruitment has its usual priority, but that it is perhaps time that we on the Right as a group start thinking about how to win with mediocre candidates, too.  God knows that our opposite numbers have learned to do precisely that.

Alaska Mark Begich Serious Risk
Arkansas Mark Pryor Serious Risk
Colorado Mark Udall Some Risk
Iowa Open Some Risk
Louisiana Mary Landrieu Serious Risk
Massachusetts Open Depends
Michigan Open Low Risk
Minnesota Al Franken Some Risk
Montana Open Serious Risk
New Hampshire Jeanne Shaheen Some Risk
New Jersey Open Depends
New Mexico Tom Udall Low Risk
North Carolina Kay Hagan Serious Risk
Oregon Jeff Merkley Low Risk
South Dakota Open Serious Risk
Virginia Mark Warner Low Risk
West Virginia Open Serious Risk

(more…)

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