Mar
31
2014
7

House Ways/Means Chair Dave Camp to retire. And the DCCC is helpless.

Oh, sure, the DCCC is going to put a nice face on it over there, because that’s what you do when you don’t have the money or the votes.  But it’s the wrong cycle for a pickup and the Democrats are not going to win the governorship and they’re now looking less and less likely to keep the Senate seat and MI-04 is R+4, which right now is about as accessible to the Democrats as is, say, the Moon. The best part? …The DCCC will have to pretend that it’s a possibility, because doing anything else will shut down the revenue streams.

Yes, I am crying inside.

More details here.

Feb
17
2014
3

You won’t BELIEVE just how furiously Politico spun this #DCCC #Obamacare memo!

Background: Politico has acquired a memo (which they did not share, shockingly*) from presumably the DCCC that describes the strategy, for lack of a better word, of the Democratic party with regard to Obamacare. Essentially, they’re going to:

…[t]ell voters Republicans would make the problem worse — raising prescription drug prices, empowering insurance companies and even endangering domestic violence victims.

The battle plan, details of which were in a memo obtained by POLITICO, recognizes the unpopularity of the Affordable Care Act. But it also banks on voter fatigue with the GOP’s relentless demands for repeal and counts on poll-backed data that show many Americans would rather fix Obamacare’s problems than scrap it altogether.

(more…)

Dec
09
2013
2

Peter Festersen (D) cuts and runs from Nebraska-02 race.

Point (October 2013):

A partial shutdown of the U.S. government and an impasse over raising the federal debt ceiling have prompted a Nebraska Democratic officeholder to challenge Republican Rep. Lee Terry in the 2014 elections.

Pete Festersen, a city councilman in Omaha, reversed an earlier decision to sit out the race.

Counterpoint (December 2013):

Democrat Pete Festersen is ending his campaign for Republican Lee Terry’s seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. The Omaha City Council president told The World-Herald on Monday that he’s been unable to balance his work, family and council responsibilities with the demands of a high-profile congressional race.

(more…)

May
30
2013
2

Barack Obama tells DCCC that he fixed Washington, DC.

Indirectly, to be sure: but nobody sensible to expect plain talking from Barack Obama anyway.  At the heart of this stunning revelation is this bit from the Hill:

“Do not buy into this notion somehow that, oh, these problems are too big or Washington is broken,” Obama said. “Washington is not broken.  It’s broken right now for a particular reason, but it’s not permanently broken.  It can be fixed.”

Now, of course, folks reading that line are immediately flashing back to this: (more…)

Apr
25
2013
--

DCCC brags about already-withdrawn candidate?

In the grand scheme of things, this in itself is not necessarily a world-shaking event

Sona Mehring, a political newcomer who founded the CaringBridge website, won national attention this month earlier this month when she said she would challenge Republican U.S. Rep. John Kline.

Now, just three weeks into a run, the Democrat says she is dropping out of the race.

…except for this (alleged) little embarrassment for the DCCC:

Oops. Oh, well, I guess people didn’t have their coffee this morning over there.

Dec
03
2012
4

A quickie preliminary look at the committees’ debt situation.

Interesting.  Below are the latest (just before the election) Debt and CoH (Cash on Hand) totals for the various committees:

Debt CoH
DNC 20.89 10.33
DCCC 0.57 10.06
DSCC 0.23 4.24
RNC 9.9 67.55
NRSC 0 8.22
NRCC 0 10.98

(more…)

Nov
05
2012
2

Why the Democratic party is not taking the House back.

OK, now that I’ve read this Politico article about how the supposedly soon-to-be-triumphant Democratic party* is not going to get more than five seats at best (and may actually lose seats), and I’ve stopped laughing, let me do my civic duty for the day and explain what actually happened.  There are three real reasons for this slow motion car wreck, and none of them are redistricting, outside money, and/or chicanery:

  • Nancy Pelosi.  There is a reason why Speakers of the House tend to resign after being handed an electoral shellacking of the kind that was handed to Madam Speaker in 2010, as events since have shown. The woman is simply weaker as House Minority Leader than she would have been if she had never been Speaker of the House at all; less ability to command others, and decreased deference when it’s not to her face.  There are people in the Democratic party who would rather badly like to actually react realistically to what happened in 2010, even if their solutions may not be realistic… but as long as Nancy Pelosi is running things, they won’t.  She doesn’t think that she did anything really wrong.  I understand that Pelosi is an earner, but honestly: get her out of the house and give her a Super PAC, then. (By the way: most of the ostensible answers in the Politico article happen to come back to the meta-problem – for Democrats, anyway – of Nancy Pelosi keeping her job.)
  • Barack Obama. You can argue about whether Barack Obama is a drag on House races or not, but it’s largely academic anyway: Obama for America simply can’t make itself care about the downticket races when they’re in trouble.  Which is why House races have dramatically shifted towards the GOP in the last month. If you’re a Democratic candidate in a swing state, you might have seen the President stop by and help you out.  Might.  If not… well?  Good luck?
  • Wave election fatigue.  …We’ve had three wave elections in a row: two Democratic ones, and one Republican one that wiped out the first two.  We’re pretty much out of low-hanging fruit. We’ll have some more in 2014 – it takes two to three terms for a Member of Congress to decide that he or she is invincible – but right now everybody’s mostly hunkered down and taking no changes.

And… that’s how it is.  With one important caveat: none of this would really matter if the Democrats happened to have, say, a six point advantage in the electorate this year.

Moe Lane

*Actually, to be fair to Politico they actually referred to Democrats as “a party that has a legitimate shot at keeping the presidency and the Senate on Tuesday.”

Oct
26
2012
8

October surprise: Obama’s killing Democratic House prospects.

Let me just list the House races that Democratic strategists are willing to admit – some, even by name! – as having been endangered by Barack Obama’s sub-par October performance.  Just list.

And then there’s the generic ballot, which has gone from plus-Democrat to even-steven. Also note the ostensible swing-state nature of most of the races on that list; you can be certain that official political operatives from both parties have.  All in all, this is pretty good news to have, less than two weeks out – both on the Congressional, and the Presidential, level.

Needless to say, the Republicans in all of the races above could use whatever support that you can muster.  The Democrats were counting on taking or holding all of those seats.  Deny them the satisfaction.

Moe Lane

http://sulia.com/channel/capitol-hill-insiders/f/41a85fb6-5ca1-41a4-96b9-9ed885ad13f9/?source=twitter

Oct
25
2012
11

DCCC goes $17 million in debt to keep losing the House.

I am translating. Hey, you know what would have stopped the DCCC from driving itself deeper and deeper in debt on a fool’s errand? Competent leadership by the President. Or, indeed, any leadership at all.

Via Instapundit.

Written by in: Politics | Tags:
Sep
26
2012
2

#rsrh DCCC admits DOOM in NC-08, FL-18: SEIU does likewise in WI-08.

I first saw the tip-off from @mattmackowiak, but said tweet unfortunately needs some typos corrected:

  • FL-18 (not FL-08): “The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee canceled a week of airtime in Rep. Allen West’s (R-Fla.) district starting Oct. 9, according to multiple sources tracking the buy.”
  • NC-08: “The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee canceled a second week of advertising in Kissell’s 8th district. Roll Call has learned that the DCCC’s independent expenditure arm canceled a reservation for advertising in the Charlotte media market from Oct. 9-15. This comes after the DCCC canceled a reservation from Oct. 2-8, as first reported by Roll Call.
  • WI-08 (not WI-07): “The Service Employees International Union [NOT the DCCC - ML] has canceled a previously scheduled television ad buy in support of businessman Jamie Wall’s (D) challenge of Rep. Reid Ribble (R).”

Nonetheless: good news for the Republican House majority.  Whether the Democrats like to admit it or not, not having the money to protect one beleaguered incumbent and challenge two House freshmen is rarely good news.

Well, it’s rarely good news for the party without the money.  I imagine that the GOP finds this very good news indeed.

Moe Lane

 

Aug
10
2012
8

#rsrh Wow. A group that’s DUMBER than the DCCC! Amazing.

The story thus far: Sheldon Adelson is a billionaire who is supporting Mitt Romney in this election, which is why the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) recently accused him of being a pimp for the Chinese mob.  Mr. Adelson is also a Jewish billionaire supporting Romney, which is why the National Jewish Democratic Council (NJDC) followed suit.  Mr. Adelson – who, by the way, spends a good deal of time fighting the after-effects of human trafficking – responded by (as I put it last week) casting Summon Elite Lawyer Ninja Squad, and the DCCC promptly caved.  Apparently the NJDC did not, which is why Mr. Adelson is now suing them for $60 million.

I note all of this because today’s Breitbart interview with prominent Democrat Alan Dershowitz is fascinating in its subtext – actually, it’s fascinating in its text, too: (more…)

Aug
03
2012
9

#rsrh DCCC crawls, abases itself for the amusement of Republican Sheldon Adelson.

This is a marvelous sentence.  I love reading this sentence.  It is a sentence full of pure, innocent enjoyment:

The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee issued a public apology Thursday afternoon to billionaire casino magnate Sheldon Adelson for charging that the Republican mega donor was tied to the Chinese mob and a prostitution ring.

I’d give you the background, except that you can see it all, right there: the DCCC accused Mr. Adelson of being a pimp for the Chinese mob, Mr. Adelson cast Summon Elite Lawyer Ninja Squad in response, and then the DCCC suddenly realized that they were in deep, deep legal trouble. It’ll be interesting whether or not this is enough to get Adelson’s attack dogs to heel; personally, I’d want at least an actual scalp or two, but then I’m a partisan political hack, not a billionaire.

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