Sep
18
2014
2

Gallup notes that the GOP is looking about as good as Democrats to Americans these days.

Excuse me while I give this non-integral and unsecured support beam for the Democratic party base’s sense of self a good, hearty kicking:

Americans’ views of the Democratic and Republican parties are now similar, mainly because of their more positive ratings of the GOP.

[snip]

Americans view both parties negatively overall, with a 40% favorable and 57% unfavorable rating for the Republican Party, and a 42% favorable and 54% unfavorable rating for the Democratic Party.

Oh, Gallup.  Tell the truth: you guys just enjoy watching the chaos that results when you toss a poll like this into the room, don’t you? (more…)

Sep
10
2014
1

Joe Biden begs me to vote.

One of the weirder aspects of this gig is all the spam I get from Democrats. For those of you who aren’t in the Life, let me explain: it used to be that signing up for the Other Side’s mailing lists was a relatively easy way to see what agendas and events Democrats were pushing. Makes sense, right? By looking at what they tell their supporters, you get a feel for what the Democrats think is important. And that is often going to be different than what you thought the Democrats think is important.

Alas, like everything else involving the Democrats Barack Obama got his hands on it, and has made the entire exercise useless. Based on my inbox, the important message that Democrats have for their supporters these days is typically either We think Republicans are horrible: give us money or We have a contest. We have a contest. WE HAVE A CONTEST. Give us money.  And, indeed, the Democrats get money out of that.  The Democrats have also seen their polling numbers slide all summer, and while I have no proof that the two data points are related it certainly sounds like they should be, no? (more…)

Sep
10
2014
--

Why is the President talking about ISIS tonight?

This is why.

The Democrats are 18 points in the hole on foreign policy, 38 on defense. I’m trying to remember the last time I’ve seen the Democrats that far behind on those topics. Admittedly, I’m kind of loopy right now from the various cold remedies, so maybe it’s been like this for a while and I just don’t remember; still… those aren’t great numbers. To put it, as they say, mildly.

Sep
04
2014
6

I’ve been doing this gig for over a decade now…

…and I have never seen the Democrats as rattled going into an election season as I am seeing them right now. This Debbie Wasserman Schultz rhetorical disaster is merely the most obvious example: and the weird thing is, that one was a massively rookie mistake. All joking (and sneering!) aside, the current head of the DNC has been a federal and state legislator for over twenty years. That Schultz managed to still so thoroughly step on the Democrats’ messaging delivery system is astounding.

And fun!

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Aug
29
2014
3

Bad call by the Florida Democratic party with regard to The Shark Tank, here.

On the one hand, I understand why they tossed The Shark Tank out of a campaign event on general principles: Javier Manjarres is a born troublemaker*. On the other hand, the Florida Democratic party then had to deal with flak from local news people, given that Javier is in fact local media.  On the gripping hand? …Well, Florida Democrats did nominate Charlie Crist, so their judgement wasn’t really all that great in the first place.

Seriously, how bad is it for Florida Democrats right now if they don’t dare have an open media policy?

Moe Lane

*I do a little of that myself, hopefully.

Aug
17
2014
2

House Democrats puzzled that Barack Obama does not engage their impotent services.

I’m impressed.  Glenn Reynolds managed to avoid the hysterical laughter at this:

House Democrats can’t figure out why Obama won’t talk to them

I mean, really: who the heck would talk to House Democrats, at this point? I’m not saying that they have even less influence on ultimate political outcomes than I do, but that’s because I don’t want to sound heedlessly hubristic. Hubris or not, under Nancy Pelosi House Democrats have gone from strength to abject weakness; and they will not return to relevance any time soon.

So… why don’t House Democrats hear from the President?  I don’t know: what’s in it for Barack Obama? Legitimate question.

Aug
11
2014
1

Democrats paying their minority staffers around 3/5th of White staffers’ salaries.

Fine, fine: it’s more like seven-tenths. Three-fifths has more of a… resonance, though.

 …there is a racial pay gap in campaign politics. Asian, Black and Latino staffers are paid less than their white counterparts, according to an analysis by the New Organizing Institute.

For example, African-American staffers on Democratic campaigns were paid 70 cents for each dollar their white counterparts made. For Hispanic staffers in Democratic campaigns, the figure was 68 cents on the dollar.

I’m not going to give The Daily Beast opportunities for agitprop: they’re rather desperate to make this a bipartisan problem.  However, if you take the time to pull the original numbers by NOI, you’ll find the following: (more…)

Aug
07
2014
7

Democrats putting on as brave a face as possible for 2014 House races.

It’s a bit early in the season for Turnout will save us!, but the Democrats are determined to give it a try.  Stu Rothenberg:

In the face of a challenging midterm environment, Democrats are relying on money and an expanding get-out-the-vote effort to avoid losing any more ground in the House. But what does that souped-up ground game look like?

So, what exactly is their strategy?

Democratic strategists believe a renewed focus on districts with high minority populations (including black and Hispanic voters, for example)…

(more…)

Aug
06
2014
6

The Democrats’ 2014 problem in one sentence.

From a Hill article, discussing the Democrats’ current kitchen sink / spaghetti against the wall / Hail Mary play / spin the chamber and hope it’s the one without the bullet strategy they’ve adopted for the midterms:

Central to the Democrats’ campaign message is their “Middle Class Jumpstart” agenda — a package, unveiled last month, that includes specific proposals to expand education opportunities, empower women in the workplace and promote domestic job creation.

…this is the first I’ve heard of it.  Me, the political junkie.  And if I haven’t heard of it, even to mock it – and, believe me, I would have mocked it if I had heard of it – then it didn’t succeed as an unveiling. (more…)

Aug
01
2014
3

Cook Political Report House race update: 17 races +GOP, 4 +Dem.

This is not precisely a ‘Boom!’

…and I’d hold off calling DOOM on this, either. But it’s getting there. There are two interesting data points, here:

  1. Cook’s main ratings now show that there are five Republican seats that are seriously at risk of flipping, as opposed to fifteen Democratic ones.
  2. Looking at the race changes themselves: Cook took 6 Republicans and one Democrat effectively off of the board completely by rating their races as Solid.  Cook also put one race  (IA-02) into play by upgrading it from Solid Democratic to Likely Democratic.

That last point is important because it shows in stark relief the shrinking of the Democratic playing field. Right now Cook ranks the house as: 204 Solid Republican, 160 Solid Democratic. The Republicans currently control 15 seats that are ranked Likely Republican: even if you spot the Democratic party every other race (including the two Democratic-controlled seats that are ranked Likely Republican) the GOP would still have a majority in the House next year. Not that will happen: what is expected to happen is that the Democrats will probably lose a net six seats or so. (more…)

Jul
19
2014
14

Debbie Wasserman Schultz: Democrats will exceed expectations. …Heh. Maybe they will.

Shot:

Democratic National Committee Chairwoman Debbie Wasserman Schultz said the strength of individual candidates will help her party outperform expectations in the upcoming midterms.

“Pundits are wildly misinterpreting or over interpreting,” the Florida Democrat said, specifically responding to a projection published by the Washington Post that gives Republicans an 86 percent chance of taking control of the Senate.

“Models don’t elect candidates. Voters do,” she said, speaking at a Thursday morning event organized by centrist Democratic think tank Third Way.

(more…)

Jul
17
2014
4

I encourage Senate Democrats to go to the wall to bring back IRS bonuses.

I absolutely encourage them:

The House on Wednesday approved legislation that would prohibit performance bonuses for senior executives at the Internal Revenue Service.

Rep. Paul Gosar’s (R-Ariz.) amendment to the fiscal 2015 Financial Services appropriations bill was approved on a 282-138 vote, with one member voting present.

(more…)

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