Lots of people talking about Wisconsin and whether or not it’s in play. Truth be told, I don’t know: the WI GOP is pretty freaking hardcore these days, but the Democrats will pour whatever it takes to keep that firewall*. And this map is why:
The above is the Democrats Midwest Collapse nightmare scenario: it represents the Republicans running the table in that region. I personally think that we’re good in Indiana, will be good in Iowa, and probably be good in Ohio… but if Wisconsin flips then Michigan probably won’t be too far behind. And note that if that happens it doesn’t matter at all what happens in Virginia, Colorado, and/or New Hampshire.
My basic take on this: this pick does not guarantee the Midwest for the Republicans, but it does guarantee that the Democrats are going to have to put resources into yet another geographical region. Resources that they may end up not having.