Jul
10
2014
11

My major thought on the House lawsuit against Obama.

Basically, the House of Representatives is suing the President because the latter refuses to implement the Obamacare employee mandate. This is not actually a paradox: the fastest way to get that mandate permanently killed is to actually enforce it. And, given that… (more…)

May
04
2014
23

On ‘reforming’ the House of Representatives by making the terms four years long.

While I agree with Glenn Reynolds’ basic observation…

…about this Washington Post article calling for four-year terms for the House of Representatives, I also would like to propose an amusing game for dealing with advocates of such a change. Ask them, sweetly, if they were prepared to accept a compromise where House elections were four-year terms… and they were all during what we now call the midterms. Then watch them squirm*. (more…)

Sep
21
2013
3

Oh, dear: Jim Moran is *upset* at the House of Representatives.

Excuse me, I need to poison the well here a little: Jew-hating, military-hating (and completely hypocritical), notoriously corrupt, potentially violent, and just generally scummy Congressman Jim Moran – who covers up for domestic abusers (and alleged abuser himself) – is upset that the House of Representatives voted to defund Obamacare.  Oh, my.  How will we ever cope?

“I used to be really proud of this institution,” Virginia Rep. Jim Moran said before the body voted Friday on a continuing resolution that defunds Obamacare. “I used to be able to go through my community and, many of those who have served as long as I have, know what it was like to be proud to be a member of Congress.”

Then quit, Moran.

Moe Lane

PS: Shorter Moe Lane: If Jim Moran is angry about something then somebody, somewhere, did that something right.

Jul
08
2013
--

A random snark at Politico for not really thinking things through.

Sometimes you get the feeling that Politico is just going through the motions.

Republicans, who have a 17-seat majority, head into 2014 favored to keep the House because, in large part, of the GOP-dominated redistricting process after the 2010 census. The Cook Political Report projects Republicans, who lost eight seats in 2012, will net two to seven seats in the midterms.

…In other words: that sixty-three net gain that the GOP got in 2010 (pre-redistricting) got mildly lowered in 2012, but said lowering will likely be largely reversed in 2014. But then, I suppose that “GOP-dominated redistricting process after the 2010 census” sounds better in their ears than “American electorate shifting noticeably Right in 2010, and finding the new position comfortable enough for now.”

:pause:

That’s actually it, really.  Just some random snark.

Moe Lane

Apr
14
2013
--

On why gun control is still Senate Kabuki theater.

(H/T: Instapundit) Let me translate this:

For a second straight day, [Speaker of the House John] Boehner refused Thursday to commit to holding a full House vote on Senate-passed gun legislation. But he said the House would not ignore an issue thrust into the spotlight by the December shooting of 20 schoolchildren in Newtown, Conn.

[snip]

Any Senate bill, he said, would be referred first to the Judiciary Committee for hearings.

Translation: anything that the Senate passes will be sent to Judiciary, where it will be quietly strangled with a silken bowstring. (more…)

Sep
18
2012
4

#rsrh Interesting House Forecast from The Monkey Cage: D+ …1.

Which is pretty close to ‘standing pat.’  I’m not really going to go into the tall weeds on this one – my math isn’t up to the task – but the result is pretty darn close to my own gut call of “single-digit Democratic gains*,” so clearly these people are geniuses.

Moe Lane

*I expect a good bit of churn, though.  We have a large freshman class and redistricting is affecting both sides; but the Democrats have a lackluster lineup this election cycle and the last three cycles have been pure hell on any Congressman who had any visible weakness at all. So we will lose people, and so will they, and the Republicans will retain the House.

Jun
22
2012
8

#rsrh Charlie Cook’s Cold Water on Fourth Wave Election Hopes/Fears.

He says that it’s not likely to happen, and I agree.

One might have expected that two years after Republicans picked up 63 House seats—the biggest gain in a midterm election since 1938—Democrats would be on track to win back a boatload of those districts that the GOP didn’t have much business winning in the first place. But a little more than four months out from the election, the tides seem about as neutral as they can be. Both parties have surprisingly comparable levels of exposure, largely because of redistricting. The relatively calm surface of this year’s waters belies a lot of offsetting tumult and change underneath. But for House Republicans, who hold a 25-seat majority, a status quo election producing minimal net change would be good news.

I’ve been doing this since 2002; 2006 was probably my first real pay-attention-to-Congress election.  I’ve seen three wave elections, increasingly from the inside.  This… does not feel like one.  It feels like what Charlie said: the waters are still.  (more…)

Apr
28
2012
4

Politico: excusing in 2012 their lack of foresight about 2010?

I need to push back on this cover-their-rear statement by Politico on the ‘surprise’ flipping of the House of Representatives in 2010.

[House Speaker John] Boehner doesn’t play political prognosticator often. But when he does, those close to him say, there’s usually a calculated reason. In April 2010 — almost two years ago exactly — the then-House minority leader said in a radio interview that an astounding 100 seats were in play in that year’s midterm elections, a figure he said was broader than “anything we’ve seen around here during my 20 years” in the House.

Few from either party believed Boehner at the time, but his assessment proved accurate. Republicans put about 100 Democratic-held seats in play, ultimately winning 63 of them to seize the majority.

(Bolding mine) Actually, people who read RedState (or MoeLane) were prepared for that scenario. People who read Sean Trende at RCP were prepared for that scenario. People who read Hot Air and AoSHQ were at least prepared for the possibility.  In fact, people who were following the election using right-leaning sites and news sourcess were by and large prepared for what happened. But the people were relying on the Daily Beast or the Left-blogosphere or, well, Politico for their political content? …Yeah, those folks ended up being kind of surprised in November. Usually unpleasantly. (more…)

Mar
30
2012
1

#rsrh House Natural Resources Committee orders special briefcases*.

Well now.

House panel votes to issue subpoenas to administration officials involved in doctoring a report on the Gulf oil spill to justify a moratorium and in squelching another that concludes EPA regulations will kill jobs.

The 23-17 vote by the House Natural Resources Committee authorizes subpoenas that will go to agencies such as the Interior Department and the Environmental Protection Agency regarding two issues affecting domestic energy production and jobs.

(Via  @streiffredstate)

:sing-song: E-lect-ions mat-ter…

(pause)

Sorry.  I thought that I had more, but that was pretty much everything that I wanted to write.  Because they do.

Moe Lane (more…)

Nov
21
2011
7

Sex scandals: partisan poison at the polls?

Some unsolicited, un-paid for, and probably unwelcome advice to the Democrats: if it is true – again, if, if, if, if, if, if – that Dale Kildee is in fact guilty of the sexual molestation charges made against him, it will be in the Democratic party’s best interests to force Kildee to resign now.  Consider the following Representatives:

  • Mark Foley (R, FL-16).  Resigned due to sex scandal. Seat kept vacant until general election.  Result: seat flipped.
  • Eric Massa (D, NY-29).  Resigned due to sex scandal.  Seat kept vacant until general election.  Result: seat flipped.
  • Mark Souder (R, IN-03).  Resigned due to sex scandal. Seat kept vacant until general election.  Result: seat retained.
  • Christopher Lee (R, NY-26). Resigned due to sex scandal. Special election held.  Result: seat flipped.
  • Anthony Weiner (D, NY-09). Resigned due to sex scandal. Special election held.  Result: seat flipped.
  • David Wu (D, OR-01). Resigned due to sex scandal. Special election to be held. Seat considered in jeopardy.

Do you see the theme, here?  Of the last six Representatives who resigned because of a sex scandal, four saw their seats change party at the next opportunity and one will very possibly see that happen next year. Now let’s look at a list of Representatives from the last decade that didn’t resign*: (more…)

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