Oh, those inconvenient early voting numbers in OH!

Oh, dear: I hadn’t realized that the pushback to this:

Four years ago, Democrats made up about 42% of the early and absentee vote while Republicans made up 22% – a dismal 20-point deficit that contributed to Sen. John McCain’s defeat in Ohio.

Through Wednesday, however, the margin has narrowed: Democrats account for 36% of the early and absentee vote while Republicans make up for 29%.

…was something as desperate as this:

Voters in Ohio do not register by party in traditional fashion. Instead, voters are only identified as Republican or Democrat based on their participation in a primary, making it difficult to know just where early vote sympathies lie.

Republicans had a competitive presidential primary earlier this year. Democrats did not. Is it possible someone that a Democrat in Toledo registered as a Republican to vote for Romney over Rick Santorum last March, but is now supporting Obama? Absolutely. But this hypothetical Obama supporter’s absentee ballot would be marked Republican.

In other words: Operation Chaos. :rolling eyes: Because that has to work sometime, right? (more…)


#rsrh “Four more weeks! Four more weeks!” – Overflow crowd in Ohio for Romney.

Your lips to God’s ears, Ohioan voters.

Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney received a warm reception on a cold evening at the Shelby County Fairgrounds Wednesday as he addressed a crowd estimated at more than 8,500 people, more than eight times the number expected to turn out.


As the elder Romney took the stage, the sea of people rose into a breaking wave of cell phones and cameras to capture the momentous event, chanting “four more weeks, four more weeks!”

But don’t worry: they cleaned up after themselves.  Because, you know, Republicans.


Moe Lane


#rsrh Romney, Obama drawing about the same crowds in Ohio. Not that we’re being *told* that.

So, consider these two stories:

  • Barack Obama, Bowling Green, 09/26/2012: “President Barack Obama urged more than 5,000 students and supporters at the Stroh Center Wednesday afternoon to register to vote and cast their ballots early as part of his tour of Ohio campuses weeks before election day.” (The BG News, “Obama speaks to crowd of more than 5,000 at Stroh Center”)
  • Mitt Romney, Toledo, OH, 09/26/2012: “Lucas County Republican Party Chairman Jon Stainbrook estimated the crowd in the downtown convention center at just more than 4,000.” (The Toledo Blade, “Romney backers fill SeaGate Centre”)

Sounds like both candidates are out there, drawing reasonable crowds, filling their spaces: I think we can all agree that Barack is a run or two up – but that the two of them were in the same ballpark on Wednesday, right? (more…)


#rsrh No, sorry, Ohio is a two-party state. Unless Perot runs again, I guess.

I get that Reason.com has an understandable (if ultimately self-defeating) affinity towards the Libertarian party, but this wishful thinking piece about how Gary Johnson could give Ohio to Obama is, well, absurd.

Rep Dem 3rd
2008 46.9% 51.5% 1.6%
2004 50.8% 48.7% 0.5%
2000 50.0% 46.5% 3.5%
1996 41.0% 47.4% 11.6%
1992 38.4% 40.2% 21.5%
1988 55.0% 44.1% 0.9%
1984 58.9% 40.1% 1.0%
1980 51.5% 40.9% 7.6%
1976 48.7% 48.9% 2.4%
1972 59.6% 38.1% 2.3%



Tracking Ohio’s absentee ballot requests.

We[**] got a guy out there doing just that, and the link to his spreadsheet is here.

Executive summary: the process is ongoing, and what’s being tracked are absentee/early ballot REQUESTS, not turned-in ballots.  So it’s not telling us who’s ahead in Ohio; it’s merely telling us what we know of which party’s members are asking for ballots.  In other words, it’s a possible measure of voter enthusiasm in Ohio.  So…

2012 2008 % of 08
Total 601208 740725 81%
Democrat 177155 288270 61%
Republican 145560 144300 101%
Cuyohoga 159572 231497 69%
D Cuyahoga 86274 119891 72%
R Cuyahoga 38134 35067 109%
Hamilton 61253 102796 60%
D Hamilton 9793 16763 58%
R Hamilton 18304 23677 77%
Summit 39056 92941 42%
D Summit 9581 43524 22%
R Summit 7525 12857 59%



#rsrh Sherrod Brown’s (D, OH) babbling about the Chinese under his bed again.

Out there.  Lurking.  Lurking.

But seriously — is the heir to Mao’s legacy, or some his minions, or perhaps a U.S.-based subsidiary of a Chinese company, in bed with conservative political and business groups that want to see Brown leave Washington?

Brown has suggested as much since earlier this summer. He qualifies it by saying that he does not know for sure that Chinese interests are spending in hopes of an Ohio voter coup. But he says he thinks it could be so.

“Coup.”  One hopes that the distingui… the Senator from Ohio didn’t use that actual word, in much the same way that one hopes that he was neither wearing underpants on his head, nor mumbling about strawberries.  Still, look on the bright side: at least Sherrod Brown isn’t talking about the Jewish Chinese international conspiracy against him.


Via @pbolyard.



Dear God but this is filthy. From Sherrod Brown’s campaign ad:


Specific quote: “Josh Mandel: He’s become the candidate of the Big Lie.”

(Via @freddoso)

The “Big Lie” – as Calfornia Democrat Chair John Burton so helpfully reminded us earlier this week, when he explicitly referenced that term to call Republicans Nazis – is a term coined by Adolf Hitler to help justify his systematic demonization and degradation of the Jews.  It is, bluntly, a term that was used to justify genocide.  Given that Josh Mandel happens to be Jewish himself, this is appalling – and no, Brown has no excuse here; agents of the Democratic party have spent the entire week calling Republicans Nazis.  And, again, in at least one case the use of the phrase was done explicitly and specifically – which means that it was part of the record, and certainly in the news.  Sherrod Brown should get no benefit of the doubt, here.  None. At. All.

John Burton was forced by his party to apologize.  But will any Democrat dare bring Sherrod Brown to heel?

Moe Lane (crosspost)


#rsrh Barack Obama: typically ignorant of GOP farm bill’s passage.

(H/T Gateway Pundit) Well, this is embarrassing:

Short version: in his haste to make it look like he actually cares about the state of Iowa, Barack Obama snidely wondered what was up with passage of the farm bill.  Well, what’s up with the farm bill is that House Republicans did pass an emergency one two weeks ago; only, Democrat Debbie Stabenow got her nose so out of joint because she couldn’t have her Five Year Plan* passed that she refused to let the Senate version advance.  Which you would think that Barack Obama would know perfectly well, since the New York Times reported that Senate aides indicated “the White House would have considered the House measure”.

I guess nobody ever tells Barack Obama anything.  Frankly, I wouldn’t: there’s always the chance that he’d take an interest in the subject, and thus muck it up thoroughly. (more…)


Brilliant, Ohio coal plant mine[*] closes: guess why?

Well, your ability to guess why the Murray Energy Corporation today announced that it is closing a mine in Brilliant, Ohio will be largely dependent on whether you rely on local news or not. If you’re just paying attention to local news… you won’t be told at all why a coal mine that employed 239 people at its peak laid off 24 of its remaining 56 employees today, with the remaining to be (hopefully) integrated into the company elsewhere; in fact, you won’t even be told that the mine employed that many people directly. But if you go to the company’s own press release… yeah. That’s a different story.

Regulatory actions by President Barack Obama and his appointees and followers were cited as the entire reason. “Mr. Obama has already destroyed 83,000 megawatts of coal-fired electricity generation in America,” said Mr. Michael T. W. Carey, Vice President of Government Affairs for Murray Energy. “Electric prices in the recent PJM Interconnection monthly auction were bid up 800 percent (8 times) for 2015-2016 because of this,” he added. (more…)


The new C-SPAN video library feature (also: Obama thinks that we’re in recession!).

One of the things that I did as part of attending the Breitbart Awards last weekend was attend a panel on C-Span’s new video library service. It’s actually pretty useful: it allows you to take clips from C-SPAN and email them, Tweet them, embed them and whatnot.

For example: say you wanted to show a clip from today’s disastrous Ohio speech that Obama made. What you’d do then is sign up for a free account, log in, call up the full thing, and find the clip that you wanted. In this case, it’d be this part: (more…)


Team Romney’s first ad using Obama’s Ohio speech.

The first of many from the Romney campaign:

I myself counted enough raw footage from today’s Ohio speech to make a dozen Republican attack ads.  I don’t know who the heck told the President that it was a good idea to make a speech that tacitly conceded failure for the last four years, and half-demanded, half-begged for another four years in office.  Particularly since in 2010 former President Clinton went to the same locale and urged people to vote out the Democrats if they hadn’t fixed the economy by then… anyway, I don’t know who told the President that, but I hope that he* gets a raise.

Moe Lane (crosspost)


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