Tag: or-01

#rsrh Mail-in deadline on OR-01 tonight.

That’s the race between Republican Rob Cornilles and Democrat Suzanne Bonamici to replace the disgraced (and resigned) Democrat David Wu.  It’s mail-in, but they’re going to be reporting the results tonight as the votes are tabulated: and I don’t know who is going to win.  The district has a hefty Democratic lean, and it’s reflected in the percentage of ballots that have come back, so if the ballots break down along party lines Bonamici will win.  The question is, how many Democratic voters are willing to overlook the aforementioned resignation in disgrace?

No, it’s a valid question: the American electorate tends to punish politicians for sex scandals; and if they can’t punish the politician they’ll punish his party.  Anybody’s guess about whether that will happen tonight, of course.

RS Interview: Rob Cornilles (R CAND, OR-01).

This one is the special election called for Oregon’s First District after incumbent David Wu retired.  Suddenly.  Under circumstances best described as “murky.”  Or possibly “neurological.”  It’s a D+8 district, but the Democrats are certainly acting as if it’s in play.  Rob’s a small business owner who ran against Wu in 2010 and gave the incumbent his toughest re-election fight; we talked about his chances in this contest, and a few other things as well.

Rob’s site is here; the special election is January 31st, but early voting starts in mid-January.

Moe Lane (crosspost)

Democratic shenanigans, million-dollar ad buys in OR-01.

Background: OR-01 is a D+8 district which has not gone Republican in decades.  This should normally make it reasonably safe for the Democrats… except that the seat is vacant because David Wu… well.  Something happened in David Wu’s head.  Possibly something neurological; definitely something that caused what was at best a sex scandal and at worst… something else.  So – and despite the best efforts of his caucus – Wu resigned; which may not actually help his party all that much.  The recent record suggests that voters like to punish parties when one of their House members gets caught showing theirs off; and this situation would certainly qualify. Continue reading Democratic shenanigans, million-dollar ad buys in OR-01.