[Senator Elizabeth Warren] has been hailed as a possible 2016 presidential contender among some on the left. Yet Warren has also become a lightning rod for criticism from conservatives who say she represents no less than a new breed of tax-and-spend, entitlement-rich uber-liberals in the mold of President Barack Obama. Her rise to national prominence has even led some critics back home to dust off the state’s old nickname, “Taxachusetts.”
So she may seem at first blush an odd choice to campaign for Democrat Natalie Tennant in this year’s Senate race in West Virginia — which has become as anti-Obama and anti-liberal as any state in the nation right now.
Well, isn’t this interesting.
- February, 2013: “U.S. Senator Joe Manchin (D-W.Va.) announced today that he is honored to invite Major Richard Ojeda, a West Virginia veteran and a community organizer, as his guest for the President’s State of the Union address.”
- October, 2013: “A nationally recognized political report has moved a possible race for Congress next year in West Virginia from “Lean Democrat” to “Toss Up.” The Cook Political Report said Friday state Sen. Evan Jenkins, R-Cabell, is drawing closer to longtime 3rd District Congressman Nick Rahall.”
- January, 2014: “Rahall has outrun the political change in West Virginia so far, but Obama’s dire approval ratings here are dangerous for the veteran incumbent.”
- January, 2014: “Richard Ojeda, a West Virginia veteran who was Sen. Joe Manchin’s (D-W.Va.) guest at the State of the Union last year, apparently liked what he saw of Congress. Ojeda has announced that he plans to challenge 19-term congressional veteran Rep. Nick Rahall (D-W.Va.) in the state’s upcoming primary.”
This ad from the American Energy Alliance against Congressman Nick Rahall is not precisely subtle:
…which does not mean that it’s incorrect. Basically: in 2013 Rahall voted for the Progressive Caucus’s budget amendment. Said amendment relied on a carbon tax; carbon taxes are bad news to West Virginia coal miners, given that you tax things when you don’t want more of it; and Nick Rahall is apparently an idiot for thinking that this wouldn’t show up in an attack ad against him. It was certainly more or less predicted, back in 2013: (more…)
Trouble with a capital T and that rhymes with D and that stands for “Democrat.”
In a Sheraton ballroom, Ms. [Natalie] Tennant, West Virginia’s [Democratic] secretary of state, listened to Michelle Obama urge donors to write “a big old fat check” to her and other women running for the Senate.
But back home, where President Obama is deeply unpopular, Ms. Tennant’s campaign quickly sought to wriggle out of the embrace of the White House, insisting to the local news media that “what the first lady said is not an endorsement.”
WASHINGTON – Mayor Bloomberg, who has spent millions of dollars to attack opponents of gun control, will raise hundreds of thousands this month for an advocate of tougher gun laws.
Bloomberg will host a July 22 fundraiser at his upper East Side home for Sen. Joe Manchin (D-W.V.), sources said. Tickets for the event start at $1,000.
New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg’s gun control group Mayors Against Illegal Guns is finding it hard to keep its membership up, thanks to dozens of resignations and lost elections over the last few months.
Worse for Bloomberg, who has become one of the faces of the gun control movement: the people replacing his lost comrades aren’t particularly eager to sign up with the organization, a rare group battling in the trenches against the well-organized and deep-pocketed National Rifle Association. Some appear not quite to have signed on for that level of political heat.
Just can’t quite see their way clear to get somebody strong to keep the seat.
Attorney Nick Preservati will not run for Senate in West Virginia, forcing Democrats to continue their search for a strong recruit in the 2014 battleground state.
Democrats have been hunting for a candidate in the Mountain State since Sen. Jay Rockefeller, D-W.Va., announced his retirement earlier this year. Rothenberg Political Report/Roll Call rate this race Lean Republican.
Last year, Rep. Shelley Moore Capito, a Republican, announced her campaign for Rockefeller’s seat. She remains the top Republican in the race.
I wonder if they have the mother-wit to figure it out?
Sen. Joe Manchin (D-W.Va.) may blame the National Rifle Association for the failure of his background check legislation, but he has no plan to leave the group anytime soon.
“Why would I quit when I’m trying to change from within?” he said in response to a question from The Huffington Post at a breakfast discussion on Friday, sponsored by centrist think tank Third Way.
Translation: Why would I quit when I’m still intending to run for re-election in 2018? Let me spell it out: the opinion of the Huffington Post is irrelevant to West Virginia voters. The opinion of the National Rifle Association is not. Thus, picking which group to gratuitously insult is a simple decision for Joe Manchin – and, yes, waving one’s NRA Life Member card in the face of a prominent Lefty media group is gratuitously insulting, particularly when the discussion is on how the Left can properly punish Democratic Senators who aren’t inclined towards committing political suicide. Said punishment, by the way, is something that Manchin is not really interested in enabling: (more…)
I feel that a lot of perhaps misplaced angst (and possibly, even recklessness) is on display in this Roll Call article that’s ostensibly about finding a more conservative alternative to Shelley Capito for WV-SEN (people could be forgiven for thinking that the article is actually about complaining about the Tea Party in general). You can like or not like Shelley Capito as you please, of course. You can rather keep Senator Rockefeller in that position until he dies than put in an insufficiently conservative Republican replacement, too. You can even be disgusted by the whole thing. I have varying degrees of sympathy towards those positions, but it’s a free country: you don’t have to care about my personal opinions if you don’t want to.
This is certainly something. Maybe not as much a something as the sight of Senator Joe Manchin (D, WV) refusing to admit whether or not he voted for Barack Obama last night* – profiles in courage, folks. Profiles in courage – but definitely something. What it does mean is open for interpretation, but here’s one way to figure out whether or not there was an, um, ethnic dimension to this: poll West Virginian Democrats who voted for the convict and ask ‘em whether they would have voted for Rep. Allen West if he had been the one running. That guy was practically the definition of ‘Jacksonian’ when he was serving.
*Via @jaketapper. And that should worry Manchin.
It’s honestly the best way to describe it. PPP is doing its best to put a positive spin on the way that their own polling is showing Democratic Acting Governor Earl Ray Tomblin going from a 46/40 lead over Republican businessman Bill Maloney to a 47/46 lead now, but the trend is fairly clear. September’s polling showed 14% undecided; today it’s 7%, and those numbers have pretty much all broken for Maloney. Worse, from Tomblin’s point of view? Those are Democrats going to Maloney: Republican and independent voters have not shifted in the last month.
Does this mean that Maloney’s a shoo-in? Of course not; Tomblin retains three advantages. First, party registration is still lopsided in West Virginia. Second, the Acting Governor is personally popular (as is Maloney), which is rare for Democratic incumbents these days. Third, this is a special election, which means that turnout will be reduced. Normally that wouldn’t favor an opponent, but if Tomblin’s hemorrhaging Democrats… well. We’ll see tomorrow.
In the meantime, Bill could almost certainly still use some help. Every little bit, and all that.
Moe Lane (crosspost)
Democratic pollster PPP reports that Republican Bill Maloney is now trailing acting Governor Earl Ray Tomblin by only six points (46/40, poll data here). Compare that to the May (45/30) and April (56/23) polls from the same pollster and suddenly we apparently have a race on our hands.
Yes, I know. It’s early days yet to justify the title, but let’s see how the
next couple of months go month goes.
Bill Maloney’s site is here.