youth vote – Moe Lane

Democratic grip on youth vote decays.

Everybody’s going to have an explanation for this:

…55 percent of those polled, which included likely voters from ages 18 to 29, preferred a Democrat to maintain control of the White House in 2016, compared to 40 percent who wanted a Republican. But that is a far cry from the 67 percent of millennials who voted for President Obama in 2012. The I.O.P. nationwide poll was conducted online by GfK March 18 to April 1 with a random sample of 3,034 adults aged 18 to 29. The margin of sampling error is plus or minus 3 percentage points.

Continue reading Democratic grip on youth vote decays.

@NoahCRothman is an alright dude, but I can’t buy this ‘surprisingly’ bit.

OK, this I gotta push back on. From Hot Air:

Democrats ages 18 to 29, surprisingly, tend to disagree that the next Democratic nominee must pledge to continue down the course set by Obama. Those ages 30 to 44 strongly disagree with this assertion. Only 33 percent of Democratic voters in their 30s and early 40s think the next Democratic nominee must be an Obama Democrat. Similarly, voters who make less than $50,000 are not thrilled about a third term for Obama.

Bolding mine, and… why is this surprising? Anybody who is going to be 18 in 2016 is going to be somebody who has spent the last eight years at school being fed federally-mandated slop that would start a prison riot. That may not sound like a big deal to you, but then you haven’t been forced to eat that particular, nigh-literal, sh*t sandwich.

Gonna be an interesting tableau when the 2016 exit polls come in, let me tell you…

Democrats’ youth vote for 2014 looks like… 2010’s.

Yes, that would make Democrats frantic. Why do you ask?

Just the one poll, of course – and note that it was done by a Democratic pollster, so don’t assume that ‘scaring the heebie-jeebies out of the Left’ isn’t part of the business model – but it does seem to fit. It does not really surprise me that the Democrats can only count on 37% of its 2012 youth vote in 2014; as Aaron Blake noted, the youth vote dropped precipitously in 2010, too. Midterm elections are dominated by voting blocs that make the effort to vote; the young are typically not one of those voting blocs. Continue reading Democrats’ youth vote for 2014 looks like… 2010’s.

#rsrh “Where have you gone, you Obama youth? A nation turns its lonely eyes to you…”

“…err, and largely asks why you didn’t get a degree in engineering. Or went to trade school.”

Legal Insurrection & Instapundit already know, same as me: where are the the people who made up the 2008 Obama youth vote? Why, they’re out there looking for work, and largely not finding it. And with far too many of them loaded down with student loan debt while trying to do it, too. Hey, you know what would help make college cheaper? Pruning back all those useless majors that are a breeding ground for liberal/progressive academic naifs that don’t have a clue about how the real world works, no matter how many times the real world smacks them in the face.

You know, like President Barack Obama.

Moe Lane

What Gallup didn’t do with their enthusiasm poll.

And they should have done this, too.

Gallup just published a poll on voter enthusiasm, broken down by age. The main point – younger voters are showing fairly typical enthusiasm levels towards the 2010 elections (i.e., low ones) – is interesting (and entertaining), but there’s another important bit that did not get particularly addressed. And it’s an even more entertaining point. Continue reading What Gallup *didn’t* do with their enthusiasm poll.