I am legitimately surprised…
Former Sen. Scott P. Brown, the Massachusetts Republican unseated by Democrat Elizabeth Warren in 2012, announced Friday he will not run in the Senate special election to fill the seat held by Sen. John Kerry.
“Over these past few weeks I have given serious thought about the possibility of running again, as events have created another vacancy requiring another special election. I have received a lot of encouragement from friends and supporters to become a candidate, and my competitive instincts were leading in the same direction,” he said in a statement.
“Even so, I was not at all certain that a third Senate campaign in less than four years, and the prospect of returning to a Congress even more partisan than the one I left, was really the best way for me to continue in public service at this time. And I know it’s not the only way for me to advance the ideals and causes that matter most to me,” he said.
…although I probably shouldn’t have been. Deval Patrick’s term-limited himself (he could run, but he won’t) and Massachusetts is reasonably happy to elect moderate Republicans. In other words, a lot of Democrats associated with the Senate race are now breathing big sighs of relief, while a lot of Democrats associated with the Governor’s race are now swearing. Still, I wouldn’t have minded starting the 2014 election cycle with 46 Senate seats*. Dang shame, that. Ach, well, can’t win ’em all.
At least, that’s the theory.
*I am assuming that if Bob Mendendez crashes and burns Chris Christie will decide that it makes more sense to have the bulletproof Cory Booker take the seat, thus freeing up a space to allow for a Republican to challenge the not-bulletproof-at-all Frank Lautenberg. Which is actually an improvement for us in comparison to the scenario where Menendez doesn’t resign; that seat won’t be free until 2018, and Booker is widely expected to topple Lautenberg in the primary and the Republican nominee in the general.