Not good news for the Democrats, five and a half months out:
President Barack Obama’s job approval slump and voters’ entrenched wariness of his health care law are dogging Democrats ahead of the 2014 midterm elections, and Republicans have captured a lead in the areas home to the year’s most competitive races, according to a new POLITICO poll.
In the congressional districts and states where the 2014 elections will actually be decided, likely voters said they would prefer to vote for a Republican over a Democrat by 7 points, 41 percent to 34 percent. A quarter of voters said they were unsure of their preference.
39/30 for House districts; 43/36 for Senate. But this is the fun finding: “Nearly two-thirds of voters said they prefer a government in which different parties control the White House and Congress, rather than one party controlling all the levers of power.” Translation: the public may (and does) hate both parties, but they’re quite keen on this entire ‘gridlock’ thing. Which should surprise nobody, but will surprise a bunch of people anyway.
PS: The issue this cycle, according to this poll, is Obamacare. Pure and simple. Stuff like immigration reform doesn’t even crack 30%. I mention this not because I am more of a squish on this subject than most of my readers – although I am – but because I honestly don’t think that it’s smart to assume that this issue will resonate with the voters with anything like the same intensity that a large section of the right-wing blogosphere thinks that it will.
*Note that it’s just one poll, though.