Remarkably so, all things considered.
A thing of utter beauty. And genius. All terrified when we first saw it. Thank god we trusted in The Prof. pic.twitter.com/O4khNIOJM7
— emily m (@maitlis) May 8, 2015
If you made plans based on that exit poll, you would end up feeling vindicated by events.
Nate Silver’s sweating what this means for his streak come 2016 …
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http://hotair.com/archives/2015/05/08/nate-silver-yes-there-is-a-crisis-in-polling/
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While I respect Silvers’ ability as a numbers wonk, I .. really don’t mind seeing him squirm.
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Mew
Yeah, I just saw that. I think that Nate Silver’s got a real problem, here – and it really is the pollsters. They’re not picking up shifts in the electorate: worse, they’re not picking up rightward shifts in the electorate.
Maybe the electorate has picked up on the shift in pollsters, and don’t want to reveal their preference to someone with a greater than zero chance of publicly mocking them after.
Yep. I’m wondering whether, come 2016, we’ll see *both* parties claiming “skew!” ..
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Mew
Well, the simple thing for Silvers to do to keep his streak alive in 2016 is predict a GOP victory.