Republicans, who have a 17-seat majority, head into 2014 favored to keep the House because, in large part, of the GOP-dominated redistricting process after the 2010 census. The Cook Political Report projects Republicans, who lost eight seats in 2012, will net two to seven seats in the midterms.
…In other words: that sixty-three net gain that the GOP got in 2010 (pre-redistricting) got mildly lowered in 2012, but said lowering will likely be largely reversed in 2014. But then, I suppose that “GOP-dominated redistricting process after the 2010 census” sounds better in their ears than “American electorate shifting noticeably Right in 2010, and finding the new position comfortable enough for now.”
That’s actually it, really. Just some random snark.
When you shear away all the fluff, ham-handed politicking, and let’s-poke-the-Republicans-with-a-stick troublemaking, what you’re left with in this Politico article is pretty much this: Mitch McConnell wants to win his Senate election next year – and he’s apparently got a good idea on how to do that, damn his eyes*. Seriously, this is their big revelation?
[Reid’s people say that McConnell’s strategy will be to] organize early, raise big money early to scare off opponents, scorch potential rivals to shape the field, push back against polling showing vulnerabilities to depress potential rivals and third-party groups, bolster the state party that each effectively runs and invest in new technology to run an even better campaign than their previous one.
Obama ads like the one found in this Politico article are going to make it difficult for me:
Yup. Somebody thought that this was a good idea. I hope to God that it runs in every swing state, including the ones with a lot of people wondering whether Obama is really as Presidential as they once thought. I also wouldn’t mind hearing whether or not the Sesame Corporation is happy with them being identified with the Democratic party at this point; after all, I have Christmas shopping to do.
Politico, by the way, is not happy:
…the president, as others have noted, and his team have been going fairly small at a moment when Romney is consistent in a message and pivoting toward going bigger (the foreign policy speech, more emotion on the trail, and so forth). And this video is the kind of small ball that Boston smacked over for months.
Billionaire industrialist David Koch, who is helping steer millions of dollars to elect Mitt Romney and congressional Republicans, on Thursday told POLITICO he disagrees with the GOP’s stance on gay marriage and believes the U.S. needs to consider raising taxes to balance the budget.
They are, perhaps, a little alarmed at the idea that those who have been done unto by Obama might be eager and able to do some ‘unto’ of their very own:
Republicans are drawing on an unlikely source of inspiration as they pummel President Obama over his comment that the private sector economy is “fine.”
Consider, if you will, the similarity between Obama’s 2008 ad targeting John McCain’s most infamous gaffe — “the fundamentals of our economy are strong” — and the web video put out this afternoon. (As I’m writing this, I see that Obama has already backpedaled on his comment in a subsequent White House event.)
…but perhaps I am being cynical. Or reading too much into it. Or perhaps they’re actually on the ragged edge of panic. All I know is, it’s going to be a fascinating week.
Now this is what I call good, thorough – and above all, comprehensive – sucking up by The Daily Beast:
President Romney? He’d Have to Thank Obama for Improving Picture
It’s way too early to say who the next president will be. But even now, in June, we can already predict at least one outcome of November’s election: if Mitt Romney ends up winning the White House, he will have a better shot at success than many of his presidential predecessors—and he will have Barack Obama to thank for the leg up.
This is how you do it, folks. This is how you kiss a politician’s rear end when you don’t even know which Presidential posterior you’ll end up be puckering up for. It’s almost Platonic in its purity. If you’re in Team Obama, you get so many warm fuzzies about being told how awesome your President was in turning an admittedly frightening yet decidedly temporary economic meltdown into the Great Recession that you hopefully won’t notice that The Daily Beast is figuring that your guy has an excellent chance at being a one-termer; and if you’re on Team Romney you’re going to be so pleased at having a Lefty site treat Romney as being worth sucking up to that you maybe won’t realize that they’re effectively announcing that they’re sucking up to what they think is an empty suit. Continue reading #rsrh Laying Down Romney Markers Watch: the Politico.
African-Americans voted 2-1 in favor of the North Carolina amendment banning gay marriage Tuesday, but the White House is betting that black voters there and beyond will stick with the president, despite broad resistance to legalization.
…and that’s it. There’s no backup for that at all in the article. The question is of some interest – African-American opposition to California’s same-sex marriage laws gave social conservatives a completely unexpected victory on 2008’s Election Night – but if there are actual exit polls publicly available then I have yet to see them. For that matter, ABC News reported today (May 10, 2012) that there was no exit polling in North Carolina for Amendment One. At all.