…David Nir’s work is actually quite reliably good (too good, in fact, for dKos*). Solid, even: Nir largely keeps his politics out of his political calculations, which is refreshing. A shame that he’s never going on to anything better, but that’s not precisely something keeping me up nights anyway.
Anyway, David Nir’s first look at the 2014 House rankings is up; and you will find them highly entertaining reading**. Particularly the comments, which keep falling back on the narrative of gerrymandering like a comforting Friendly Friend that will never betray them…
— Kevin Binversie (@kevinbinversie) January 14, 2014
*Mind you, I assume that the pay is good for David, which probably would make up for a lot. But it’s been a long time since the name ‘dKos’ put fear into anybody’s heart, honestly.
**Executive summary: Democrats are f*cked in the House. They got 39 Dems in play, 34 GOP; 26 Dems at risk, 13 GOP, and 10 Dems in trouble, 4 GOP. This is not compatible with the Democrats taking the House back. This is not compatible with Democrats gaining seats. This is compatible with Democrats losing seats… but you knew that already.