Ultimately via AoSHQ Decision Desk, this is very interesting:
@moelane @AOSHQDD Walker appears to be outperforming 2012 recall primary in almost every county
— Joel (@CommodoreBTC) August 13, 2014
And, frankly, unexpected. Oh, don’t get me wrong: I don’t think Scott Walker is going to lose his election. But if this holds up it’s news.
I’m not surprised. Mind you I’m not as experienced in politics as Moe, but I think that the only rational for Walker to not be able to do better then he did in that Recall is if you assume that Walker has hit the ceiling of support for a Republican in Wisconsin. I don’t think he has. I think he can still be as conservative as he is, and increase his vote total by several percentage points ( maybe not as much as Thompson got his last couple of elections for Gov back in the 90s) but still more then he got in 2010 and 2012. I don’t think Wisconsin is that hardcore of a blue state.