…by The New Republic (!) is all very well, but it lacks one key phrase: “voting enthusiasm.” Which makes a certain amount of sense: dwelling on that topic might force one to come perilously close to turning a ‘the election is tied’ narrative into an ‘actually, Obama is more or less losing right now’ one. And we can’t have that.
Here’s the real problem with the polling, honestly: we don’t know what the electorate is going to look like in November. We just know that basing it on ’08’s numbers is a mistake… but nobody knows how much of a mistake it’ll end up being. And while it’s easy for me to say “Well, they should just eyeball it and pick voting percentages that look right,” that’s because I’m not a professional pollster…
(H/T: Hot Air Headlines)