This is probably the point where the Hillary 2016 effort…

…will be judged by future researchers to have started to slide off of the beam:

[Hillary] Clinton — how much she knew, when she knew it, and whether she willingly participated in a cover up — was a central theme of the [Benghazi] hearing. And Wednesday, the story did move a large step closer to Clinton. Star witness Gregory Hicks, who was the Deputy Chief of Mission in Libya the night of the attack, charged that Clinton’s key State Department lieutenant and longtime family retainer, Cheryl Mills, made a concerted effort to block him from meeting with a Congressional delegation and that he had never been interviewed by the FBI in connection to the attack. Hicks said that he had been demoted after asking too many questions of his superiors about their response to Benghazi.

Republicans repeatedly raised the fact that Mills, a former deputy White House counsel and Clinton’s chief of staff at the State Department, personally called Hicks to express that she was upset that he had met with Rep. Jason Chaffetz without a lawyer present. So was the fact that administration lawyers had told Hicks and the Regional Security Officer not to speak with congressional investigators, as well as Hicks’ claim that he briefed Clinton the night of the attack and characterized it as an act of terror.

Here’s the problem for Hillary Clinton.  Bill Clinton could survive a hot mess like Benghazi.  George W Bush, likewise (assuming that he was stupid and/or evil enough to let it get as far as it did; and George W Bush is neither stupid, nor evil).  Even Barack Obama is currently surviving Benghazi, largely because he can foist the aforementioned hot mess onto Hillary Clinton.  But Hillary Clinton simply doesn’t have the personal charisma (or, in Obama’s case, the public reputation) to disassociate herself from the implications of Benghazi.

And let us establish once and for all what happened.  The screwup was in two parts.  The first was tactical: the administration made a judgement call on whether or not to (metaphorically) send in the Marines.  They decided not to.  People died.  Did that make it a bad call?  Maybe.  Maybe not. Sometimes the dice hate you.  Maybe if the Marines had been sent in the whole thing would have gone spectacularly pear-shaped and we’d have a hundred people dead, not four.  But then again, maybe nobody would have died at all.  Generally speaking, it’s a lot easier to justify We don’t throw lives away for no good reason than it is to justify We’d rather let four people die than risk a hundred.  Still, it’s a hard call to make when it’s you on the scene.

But the second part of the screwup is less forgivable.  The general rule here is Command takes responsibility.  JFK survived the Bay of Pigs incident because he embraced that rule. Nixon didn’t survive Watergate because he didn’t.  If Obama had said Well, we thought that we had good security up at Benghazi, only we didn’t, so al-Qaeda caught us by surprise and killed our people and that was something that I have to take full responsibility for and I’m never going to let that happen again then… well, he might have lost the election, actually.  We didn’t realize at the time, but Obama’s 2012 re-election strategy had pretty much no margin for error.  So the administration picked a narrative (it was all due to a YouTube video!) that cynically traded on stereotypes about foreign Muslims and their collective level of impulse control*, and did nothing but push said narrative for as long as they could.  Which was, oddly enough, long enough for the election to be over.

And that was last year.  But this is this year, and there’s nobody – well, except for the usual 1% fringe lunatics – who seriously believes that the Benghazi attack was due to a YouTube video.  And now what’s coming out, and being put in the formal record, is that the executive branch of the government knew that their narrative about what happened in Benghazi was false when they pushed it out, and that we know that they knew this because the people who had survived the attacks told them what had actually happened. And it’s not just the testimony.  From National Journal:

Curiously, the Obama administration also won’t talk about the footage that they have from the compound – video that some people who have seen it argue could clear up questions about whether the incident was a premeditated terrorist attack or something less.

As the National Journal then notes, “They just really don’t want to talk about this.” Which is not entirely true; they’ll be happy enough to talk about it if they can pass responsibility off to somebody else… and, hey: here we come back to Hillary Clinton.  Who is, again, no Bill Clinton or George W Bush or even Barack Obama when it comes to navigating through controversial waters.

Moe Lane (crosspost)

PS: A lot of people are probably muttering “Operating Fast & Furious” at this point. Reasonable (for given values of ‘reasonable’), although my personal opinion is that despair is a pointless luxury under the best of conditions, which these are not.

*Seriously, is nobody on the Left outraged at the administration’s casual bigotry, there? – That’s a rhetorical question, of course.

7 thoughts on “This is probably the point where the Hillary 2016 effort…”

  1. Moe, you’ve long been a pretty astute political observer, but I think that you’re wrong here. The MFM have discovered that will never be help accountable for any deceit, prevarication and outright fabrication used to prop up a leftist Democrat. I’m gonna go out on a limb and say that this will apply in spades in this instance. I’d like to be proved wrong, but I don’t think it’s going to happen.

    1. I know that that’s a common argument, but I should note that the coverage so far has been more hostile (from a Democratic point of view) than one might expect. The Media may want a Democrat to win, but they don’t necessarily want Hillary to. For that matter, the Media didn’t want Reagan or either Bush to win, either. Or for the House to flip in 2010. Or all those governorships, etc, etc, etc… 🙂

  2. I think the MSM will shield here as much as they are able for now. If, however, (probably after the midterms) they sense some new wunderkinder on the Democratic side that they would perfer for 2016, they’ll turn on Hilary in less than a day and suddenly they will have always been against her and Bengazi will be examined in minute detail.

  3. I wonder which game we’re playing, Moe.
    Your piece above seems to argue for a “trial by public opinion” game, and while Bubba Clinton is a past master, Hillary’s a tin-eared naif.
    Thing is, I don’t think that’s the game. I suspect Team Clinton have accumulated a good many pieces of information that Team Obama don’t want released…
    I suspect the game isn’t just “trial by public opinion”, it’s also got an element of “chicken”. Who flinches first?

    1. The problem IS that they’re playing games.
      If either Obama or Hillary took their responsibilities seriously, most of the problems around Benghazi would have been minimized in the first place.
      Hillary approved the inadequate level of security for superficial reasons.
      Hillary sent the ambassador to Benghazi, despite warnings, for the sake of appearances.
      The narrative that was false, and known to be false, was actively pushed by the State Department. (And Obama.)
      The claim that no military assets could have responded is self-evidently false. We have a large number of military assets in the Med, many of them of them with a known status and proximity to have responded. We do know that Obama himself would have had to grant cross-border authority for this to happen. He didn’t.
      We know that we had military assets in Libya that could have intervened. They were ordered to stand down. Twice. The order was issued from somewhere, but somehow nobody remembers giving it.

      1. In fairness:
        The reasons we know about seem superficial. There may be something on the classified end we don’t know about.
        In meanness:
        Hicks’ testimony is that we only had permission for one thing flying over Libya, and that he could’ve easily gotten more, but was not asked to.
        If there were a classified reason for the various things State was doing in Libya, I’d suggest that the administration’s characteristic good judgement and clarity of thought might mean that it may not have been a sound reason.

  4. Were you watching the same hearing I was? My read is that someone (legally, it had to be Clinton), first signed off on the two sites, out of a total of fourteen in the world at High or Critical level of danger at the time, being inhabited at the low level of preparation they were at. Then that decision maker did not get them the resources they needed to improve the sites. So there is a third part to the screw up.
    There are also apparently wider questions to whether the ARB process is any good, and whether state’s own organizational issues contributed to things.
    I’m still digesting things.
    I found consul at arms again by way of diplomad, and I’ve read some interesting stuff there.

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