This did not make me spray soda all over the monitor screen:
In 2004, Democrats won the working-class vote by 11 points; George W. Bush was reelected. In 2006, Democrats won the working-class vote by 22 points and took the House and Senate. In 2008, Democrats won by 22 points again, and President Obama was elected. In 2010, the margin narrowed to 11 points, and Republicans took the House back. In 2012, Obama was reelected—on the strength of another 22-point margin among voters making under $50,000.
…but this did:
In a new Pew survey released Thursday, 45 percent of Republican voters said they were unusually excited to vote this year, compared to 37 percent of Democratic supporters. Gridlock in Washington prevents Congress from doing anything to help those struggling economically, while giving Republicans more to blame Obama and Democrats for. Similarly, chaos around the world obscures Democrats’ economic message while dragging down the president’s image.
The Pew report didn’t include a breakdown based on the $50,000 threshold, so I [obviously, Molly Ball] asked Pew to crunch the numbers for me. The result: 51 percent of voters making less than $50,000 plan to vote for Democrats, while 40 percent plan to vote Republican. (The rest are undecided, and the GOP wins the more-than-$50,000 vote 49-44.) That’s exactly the same 11-point margin that has meant Democratic doom in every election since 2004.
Jeepers. Mind you, one poll, and it’s not even Labor Day. But it’s going to be interesting to see what happens when the polling companies finally start using the likely voter screens on a regular basis…
You wanna talk about a group brainwashed into voting against their interest…
Gotta enjoy years like this. Savor it like a fine boxed wine.
Indeed. With any luck we’ll be able to party like it’s 1984.
We shouldn’t be giving into complacency here, everyone that plans to vote for Republicans need to treat their vote as the potential tie-breaking vote that will decide the election.