The Washington Examiner goes through the list… and it’s got everybody on it that I’d put on it, with the exception of Deval Patrick. And even if you include him it breaks down to two black dudes, two white women… and eighteen white dudes. As for the quality… well, the top ten includes one guy who’s at serious risk of getting indicted (Andrew Cuomo), one guy who we all expect to get indicted (Terry McAuliffe), and… Rahm Emanuel, who is currently trying to survive a runoff. It’s practically a searing indictment of your political prowess to be on this list, which might be why Deval Patrick may not be upset to hear that he didn’t make the cut…
Tag: 2016 election
Actually, this Cook Political Report is even MORE problematical for Democrats…
In 2012 – according to exit polls – House Democrats won 60 percent of voters ages 18-29, 51 percent of voters ages 30-44, 47 percent of voters ages 45-64, and 44 percent of voters ages 65 and older. That combination was enough to win them a 49 percent to 48 percent plurality of all votes cast for House (even if Republicans still kept a comfortable majority thanks to Democrats’ inefficient distribution on the map and redistricting).
But had Democrats won the same levels of support among each age group in 2010, Republicans would still have won a clear plurality of all votes cast that year. How? Voters under the age of 30 were 19 percent of all voters in 2012, but just 12 percent of all voters in 2010. Likewise, voters 65 and up were 17 percent of all voters in 2012, but 21 percent of all voters in 2012. Herein lies the biggest danger for Democratic candidates in 2014.
And it looks pretty bad. Basically, the Democrats have the usual “their demographic groups don’t turn out in midterms” problem; and there’s no indication that they’re doing anything effective in reversing that for 2014. Or, more accurately, there’s no indication that Barack Obama is doing anything effective in reversing that for 2014, largely because he doesn’t really care. “I won,” remember? That’s the motto of this administration, first, last, and always.
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