Nov
01
2010

#rsrh The final Cook DOOMLists.

Rather than walk you through the latest changes – short version is that the sliding of the Democratic party’s House members into the abyss is operating more or less on schedule – I’d thought that I’d show you just how bad an election cycle it’s been for the Other Side. Here’s the House [UPDATE: the 2008  entries in each case are the first Cook surveys of the 2010 election cycle]:

11/1/2010 11/13/2008
Dem GOP Dem GOP
Likely D 19 1 28 0
Lean D 23 2 18 0
Toss-Up 49 1 2 5
Lean R 21 4 0 5
Likely R 8 7 0 24
Total 120 15 48 34
High-Risk 78 4 2 5

…and here’s the Senate:

11/1/2010 11/14/2008
Dem GOP Dem GOP
Solid D 6 0 10 0
Likely D 1 0 6 0
Lean D 1 0 0 0
Toss-Up 7 0 0 3
Lean R 3 6 0 1
Likely R 0 2 0 2
Solid R 1 10 0 13
In-Play 13 8 6 6
High-Risk 10 0 0 3

and here’s the Governors’ races:

10/29/2010 11/13/2008
Dem GOP Dem GOP
Solid D 2 0 5 0
Likely D 1 0 4 0
Lean D 2 1 6 1
Toss-Up 5 6 5 3
Lean R 4 3 2 3
Likely R 2 3 0 5
Solid R 3 5 0 4
In-Play 17 13 17 16
High-Risk 14 7 7 4

Now, I freely admit that I am of course one of those awful Republican Death Beasts and everything, but I can’t help but notice that the above trends are not precisely indicative of a successful political strategy on the part of the Democratic party.

Have a nice night!

Moe Lane

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