This week’s adjustment by Cook is not that extensive, but it’s a doozy:
Incumbent | Republican | |
MA-06 | John Tierney | Bill Hudak |
NJ-06 | Frank Pallone | Anna Little |
NC-04 | David Price | BJ Lawson |
OH-10 | Dennis Kuchinich | Peter Corrigan |
OR-04 | Peter DeFazio | Art Robinson |
TN-05 | Jim Cooper | David Hall |
TX-25 | Lloyd Doggett | Donna Campbell |
Those are all formerly-safe races that are now abruptly… not-safe. They’ve all gone from Safe Democratic to Likely Democratic, but this kind of movement is consistent with a continuing drift towards the GOP side. It would be interesting to see what the Toss-Up and Lean Republican totals would look like right now if Cook was less conservative about assigning incumbents to the latter. Also: look at some of those names. There are some heavy hitters on the Democratic side on that list, and they’re even now being told the bad news. Will a week be enough time to topple them?
I don’t know. Let’s find out.
Moe Lane (crosspost)
I told you Moe.
Diane Gooch would have lost by 25 points.
You’re welcome.
And you are… who?
Right, never mind: you were the guy trying to drum up support for a Democrat on RedState.
I am immensely gratified that there are people out there who can hold a grudge like this against me for a six-month ban.
^Sheer genius, if you ask me.
B^)