Interesting shift here from Stu Rothenberg: basically, he’s shifting six of his House ratings, and all in the Republicans’ favor. Of the three Democrats involved: Julia Brownley of CA-26 and Pete Gallego of TX-23 are now kind of in trouble, maybe, while Bill Enyart in IL-12 is now definitely in trouble. I’m not trying to be cute, here, but this kind of shift before Labor Day is fully compatible with an even greater shift after Labor Day. September is when most normal people start caring about politics and pollsters start concentrating on screening for likely voters.
I still don’t think that we are going to see a wave in the House, if only because we’re in a strong place already. But we could see more seats than expected moving our way, yeah.
Via @HungarianFalcon.
Moe Lane