Not good news for the Democrats, five and a half months out:
President Barack Obama’s job approval slump and voters’ entrenched wariness of his health care law are dogging Democrats ahead of the 2014 midterm elections, and Republicans have captured a lead in the areas home to the year’s most competitive races, according to a new POLITICO poll.
In the congressional districts and states where the 2014 elections will actually be decided, likely voters said they would prefer to vote for a Republican over a Democrat by 7 points, 41 percent to 34 percent. A quarter of voters said they were unsure of their preference.
39/30 for House districts; 43/36 for Senate. But this is the fun finding: “Nearly two-thirds of voters said they prefer a government in which different parties control the White House and Congress, rather than one party controlling all the levers of power.” Translation: the public may (and does) hate both parties, but they’re quite keen on this entire ‘gridlock’ thing. Which should surprise nobody, but will surprise a bunch of people anyway.
Moe Lane
PS: The issue this cycle, according to this poll, is Obamacare. Pure and simple. Stuff like immigration reform doesn’t even crack 30%. I mention this not because I am more of a squish on this subject than most of my readers – although I am – but because I honestly don’t think that it’s smart to assume that this issue will resonate with the voters with anything like the same intensity that a large section of the right-wing blogosphere thinks that it will.
*Note that it’s just one poll, though.
Y’know what would be more better? To have a party platform that addressed maybe the top 3 or 4 issues of voters…for some backup.
Just a thought.
DOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOM
We don’t just need the DOOM!!! song: Gir – The Doom Song (Dubstep Remix)
Immigration? Yeah, that’s not gonna *positively* resonate for the GOP; anyone promising otherwise should be sent to live in Brownsville, TX for two years.
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It will, however, resonate negatively with the online-right, who don’t seem shy about making messes for incumbents.
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While there is a near-inevitable link between any immigration deform Obama would sign and a future worsening jobs situation, the gap is wide enough that the electorate may not place blame effectively. That *doesn’t* mean *doing* something, it means “we tried, but gridlock” is a Good Idea.
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So, if your boss lives in the D.C. area and your job is to look at and summarize “those wacky wing-nut web sites” for him (or her), then .. simply *DO NOTHING*. It’s what the people really want.
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Mew
Regarding stopping the Republican rush to amnesty, surely every political decision should not be made based on short term vote gathering calculus, particularly when most of the electorate is going to vote against Dems anyway solely based on the abortion that is Obanacare (enhanced by the VA scandals).
Surely the stupid party could think about the long game just once (just once) and not legislatively endorse Obama’s open borders policy. Make 30 million of the Mexican underclass American voters and you can forget about the political horse races. They won’t make any difference.
Maybe establishment GOP wants it that way.
Maybe. But the reason both parties are in politics is to exercise power. And if the stupid party demotivates its Conservatives by passing amnesty, they can forget about having power.
In my state Rs control house, senate and governor, but it isn’t working out as we’d like. They are all into Common Core and I’ve got a few republican friends that are crossing over for some races.
It probably won’t matter where I live to lose a few votes won’t affect any of our races, but I concerned if this catches on. I loathe common core–so I am not going to judge anyone on their votes given the GOP’s embrace of the program here.
I am so happy that today is Primary day.
I’ve been hearing ads condemning both candidates for at least 6 months.
Today, it ends.