Tag: voter enthusiasm

Pew: Democrats have a problem with under-$50K voters.

This did not make me spray soda all over the monitor screen:

In 2004, Democrats won the working-class vote by 11 points; George W. Bush was reelected. In 2006, Democrats won the working-class vote by 22 points and took the House and Senate. In 2008, Democrats won by 22 points again, and President Obama was elected. In 2010, the margin narrowed to 11 points, and Republicans took the House back. In 2012, Obama was reelected—on the strength of another 22-point margin among voters making under $50,000.

…but this did: Continue reading Pew: Democrats have a problem with under-$50K voters.

Gallup: (nervously looking around) …DOOM?

Gallup did a voter enthusiasm poll, and the results are either gorgeous or hideous, depending on how you look at them.  Essentially, it goes like this:

  • In 2004, Democratic voter enthusiasm was at 68% and Republican voter enthusiasm was at 51%.  The GOP happened to win that election, sort-of kind of in a squeaker; then again, this poll is of adults, so you can expect a skew towards the Democrats.
  • In 2008, the Democrats dropped to 61%… and the Republicans plummeted to 35%.  The GOP proceeded to lose that election, and not in a squeaker.  It was, in fact, almost a rout.
  • And today, in 2012?  The Democrats’ voter enthusiasm is 39%… while the Republicans are back to 51%.

Continue reading Gallup: (nervously looking around) …DOOM?