Fascinating Politico article here about Joe Biden and his desire to run in 2016. Here is the basic problem, in a nutshell: Hillary Clinton is more or less qualified to be President* – or, at least, the Democratic nominee for President – but she is a horrible campaigner and nobody likes her. People like Joe Biden, and he is better at the entire campaigning thing. However: by the time 2016 rolls around “close to the Obama administration” is not going to be a selling point in the general election… and while both Clinton and Biden severely suffer from that problem, Biden suffers from it a heck of a lot more. (more…)
My eyes keep skittering over this Sean Trende piece about likely 2014 Senate losses. Not because it’s bad news: it’s not.
[Sean's calculation table] is a grim picture for Senate Democrats, suggesting that the president would have to get his approval above 50 percent by Election Day before they would be favored to hold the chamber. This is also consistent with what we’ve seen in polling, which shows the seven “red state” Democrats in truly severe states of distress, while Democrats in Iowa, Michigan, New Hampshire and Colorado are exhibiting surprising weakness. If these 11 seats are showing similar signs of weakness in November, Democrats will have an extremely difficult time holding the chamber. At Obama’s current 44 percent approval rating, we’d expect Democrats to lose somewhere between nine and 13 seats.
Of course I’m going to mock the Left for this. Karma, baby, karma: if I have to listen to cr*p about how Republicans don’t believe in evolution*, then I will happy to respond about how Democrats don’t believe that the Earth revolves around the sun. Until maybe we can all shaddap about these surveys for a change?
This post is written for researchers from the year 2044 who are wondering about the following:
[MEGYN] KELLY: We heard a lot of objections when President Bush expanded the powers of the presidency from the left and from the media. They haven’t been raising the same objections now that we have a Democrat in The White House. And you say they do so at their own peril.
[JONATHAN] TURLEY: I’m afraid this is beginning to border on a cult of personality for people on the left. I happen to agree with many of President Obama’s policies, but in our system it is often as important how you do something as what you do.
And I think that many people will look back at this period in history and see nothing but confusion as to why people remained so silent when the president asserted these types of unilateral actions.
While I agree with Glenn Reynolds that this Salena Zito piece about how the primary race for PA-13 is shaping up to be an analogy for the post-Obama Democratic party generally, there’s a really revealing passage in here that I wanted to highlight.
In a year in which Democrats have had a hard time attracting quality candidates for House races — a common occurrence for both parties when they know their chances are slim to win a majority — this race has attracted four qualified candidates.
The New York Post almost gets it, here:
In its lengthy report exposing mischief in New York’s political system, the Moreland Commission missed a major target for real reform: the state’s minor political parties.
Because of a quirk in state law, minor parties in New York wield influence far beyond their numbers. That’s because New York is the rare state that allows minor parties to cross-endorse candidates of the top two parties.
It’s an invitation to corruption: Cross-endorsements give minor parties power by allowing them to extract promises — or cash — out of major-party candidates in exchange for giving them an extra ballot line or doing their dirty work.
Let me annotate this list of Democratic Members of Congress that have decided to stab Barack Obama in the back in order to
keep their seats call for a delay of Obamacare (freshmen in red):
Rep. Lipinski was joined in introducing this bill with U.S. Reps. Kyrsten Sinema (AZ-9) [LEAN DEMOCRATIC], Scott Peters (CA-52) [TOSS-UP], Pete Gallego (TX-23) [LEAN DEMOCRATIC], Ron Barber (AZ-2) [TOSS-UP], Pat Murphy (FL-18) [TOSS-UP], John Barrow (GA-12) [LEAN DEMOCRATIC], Filemon Vela (TX-34) and Joe Garcia (FL-26) [TOSS-UP].
Lipinksi and Vela are both considered Safe by Cook Political Report – but you have to wonder, huh? Especially since they’re both freshmen legislators. At any rate, it might not be a bad idea to do some recruiting in those districts, huh?
Actually, that’s a good general rule. Every district should have a candidate.
Shh, Byron York.
The rebels ultimately hope to push Democrats to accept some sort of compromise that delays or in some way limits Obamacare. But if they fail — and Democrats have remained rock-solid on Obamacare to this point — they envision a situation in which, for as long as the shutdown goes on, they are able to fund popular government programs while leaving some key Democrat-friendly outposts shuttered. For example, while they want to fund the Pentagon, are the Republican rebels OK with the fact that most of the Environmental Protection Agency is shut down? They are. Are they worried about furloughs at the National Labor Relations Board? Not particularly.
This is much more fun if it’s a surprise.
PS: Seriously, someone did consider the possibility that the GOP would not exactly be weeping over the idea of demonstrating just how much of the federal government can be sent home in case of an alien invasion or something? I swear to God, I should be a consultant.
This is why I am not entirely* sweating the current tactical debate going on in the Republican party over this:
“Oh, I’ve heard of Obamacare, yes, but I didn’t know all that was involved,” said Cindy Bishop, a part-time worker from Lexington, Ky., who stopped by an Obamacare information booth at the state fair last month. “Everybody that I have ever talked to is totally against it. They’re afraid all the doctors are going to pull out, and you’re going to have to be like Canada and have to be on a waiting list.”
…because Cindy is going to discover that the above is her best case scenario. There’s a good chance that she’s going to end up deciding that her best bet would be to eat the fine and not get covered at all. Frustrating? Sure. Be sure to take that frustration out on all those downticket races in the midterms next year, Cindy. Easy to tell which politicians deserve all that ire, too: it’ll be the folks with a “D” after their names.
(Via Hot Air Headlines)
*There is always the chance that somebody will say something to somebody else that will rankle and cause hurt feelings later. I heartily recommend that people keep that in mind, and remember the Golden Rule. Yeah, I know: being a good person can be hard. …And?
Jammie Wearing Fools sums the situation up nicely:
…blithering idiot Joe Biden last night declared he was going to say something outrageous and followed through in his inimitable style by calling Republicans neanderthals.
We can only imagine the shocked face on Democrats when Republicans don’t roll over for Obama when he needs their votes for his Syrian folly.
…but I will add this: since Joe Biden is so pumped about the Violence Against Women Act, I’m wondering where I can find where Joe Biden ripped into the notorious wife-beater (and now deceased) former Congressman Charlie Wilson of Ohio*. He would have had an excellent opportunity to do that, given that Biden went to Wilson’s former district to make a stump speech at the same time that the former Congressman was unsuccessfully trying to get his seat back; but for some strange reason I can’t find Biden’s no-doubt righteously indignant attacks on Wilson. (more…)
Took em long enough:
Facing what AFL-CIO chief Richard Trumka called a “crisis” of membership, officials took the dramatic step at their annual convention of adopting a resolution that invites anyone in the country to join, regardless of union affiliation.