Mar
20
2014
12

dKos decides that now is the time to remove remaining rump Democratic ‘moderates.’

Markos Moulitsas apparently wishes to lead the movers of garbage out on strike for better working conditions*.

In a remarkable post [link removed**] yesterday, Moulitsas, founder and publisher of the progressive community site DailyKos, celebrates the departure from the Senate of 10 moderate Democrats over the last decade, and makes clear his hope that Senators Mark Pryor (D-Ark.) and Mary Landrieu (D-La.) lose their tough reelection battles this year. He doesn’t name some other moderates in tight races, like Mark Begich (D-Alaska) and Kay Hagan (D-N.C.), but his logic suggests that he’d be only too happy to say goodbye to them as well.

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Mar
17
2014
8

An annotated chart about why Presidential approval ratings matter.

Strictly speaking, I am not criticizing the Fix for not drawing a more explicit link between Presidential approval ratings and Senate churn in a midterm election. They established the basic point, which was that both parties are increasingly taking seriously that the President’s current low numbers will translate into Democratic losses in the Senate.  The Monkey Cage spells it out:

Presidential approval is strongly correlated with midterm congressional election outcomes.  Gallup has polled Americans on presidential approval during every midterm election cycle since 1954.  Across the 16 midterm election cycles from 1954 through 2012 the average level of presidential approval during the first quarter (January to March) of the election year is about 58 percent.  Over the available Gallup presidential approval polls for the first quarter of this year, Obama’s approval is significantly below the average, about 42 percent, worse than every other year except 2006 and 1974.

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Mar
16
2014
9

Actually, Barack Obama is already poisonous to Democrats. Radioactive, too. Possibly even corrosive.

This statement, I admit, raised my eyebrow: “One Democratic lawmaker, who asked not to be identified, said Mr. Obama was becoming “poisonous” to the party’s candidates.”

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Mar
14
2014
6

Hey, Democratic leadership: ever hear of something called “YouTube?” #obamacare

That’s not really a rhetorical question.

You see, based on the above video* it’s very much an open question whether the Democratic party does understand that every single damfool thing that a liberal or Democrat says in front of a camera will get captured somewhere and then end up on a social media site dedicated to the mass distribution of entertaining, interesting, or topical video footage.  If that observation didn’t compute, try this one: you know how the media loves them some Republicans/Conservatives Acting Badly footage, and will lovingly keep archives of same in reserve for just the right occasion? – Well, guess what! Technology has advanced to the point where anybody can do that, including people who do not like Democrats or liberals.

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Mar
11
2014
--

Quote of the Day, Democrats Think YOU’RE Too Stupid To Properly Appreciate #Obamacare edition.

Via Instapundit comes this reminder that you always need to know what your victory condition is. And whether said victory condition is actually useful to you.

Some Democrats, and their supporters in the press, will probably argue that not all those who say they or a family member have been negatively affected by Obamacare have actually suffered any ill effect. Maybe that’s true, for some. But telling voters they’re wrong is not a particularly effective electoral strategy.

Well… it’s actually a very effective one.  For the other side.

 

Mar
10
2014
10

On the latest kabuki from Senate Democrats. #globalwarming

Three things to take away from this ‘talkathon’ on global warming planned for tonight by Senate Democrats:

  • Indeed, do not call it a ‘filibuster.’ Strictly speaking, the last one of those we had was from Rand Paul.  This will be more like Ted Cruz’s Obamacare session, except that there will be more individuals involved (largely because the Democrats do not have a single Senator that can match the rhetorical skills of Ted Cruz, let alone duplicate his stamina).
  • I betcha none of these people will take questions. Like the one about why all the climate models have been increasingly at odds with observed data for about the last, oh, twenty years or so*.
  • And this says it all, really: “Democrats have 28 senators scheduled to speak through Monday night, but some of the party’s most vulnerable senators facing re-election this year—Mary Landrieu of Louisiana, Mark Pryor of Arkansas, Kay Hagan of North Carolina—are notably missing from the lineup.”

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Feb
28
2014
7

Joe Biden is so totally running in 2016. And that’s a problem for the Democrats.

Fascinating Politico article here about Joe Biden and his desire to run in 2016.  Here is the basic problem, in a nutshell: Hillary Clinton is more or less qualified to be President* – or, at least, the Democratic nominee for President – but she is a horrible campaigner and nobody likes her.  People like Joe Biden, and he is better at the entire campaigning thing.  However: by the time 2016 rolls around “close to the Obama administration” is not going to be a selling point in the general election… and while both Clinton and Biden severely suffer from that problem, Biden suffers from it a heck of a lot more. (more…)

Feb
20
2014
9

@SeanTrende runs the numbers on the 2014 Senate, nearly suffers total protonic reversal.

My eyes keep skittering over this Sean Trende piece about likely 2014 Senate losses. Not because it’s bad news: it’s not.

[Sean's calculation table] is a grim picture for Senate Democrats, suggesting that the president would have to get his approval above 50 percent by Election Day before they would be favored to hold the chamber. This is also consistent with what we’ve seen in polling, which shows the seven “red state” Democrats in truly severe states of distress, while Democrats in Iowa, Michigan, New Hampshire and Colorado are exhibiting surprising weakness. If these 11 seats are showing similar signs of weakness in November, Democrats will have an extremely difficult time holding the chamber. At Obama’s current 44 percent approval rating, we’d expect Democrats to lose somewhere between nine and 13 seats.

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Feb
17
2014
1

Heliocentric theory has a well-known conservative Republican bias.

Of course I’m going to mock the Left for this. Karma, baby, karma: if I have to listen to cr*p about how Republicans don’t believe in evolution*, then I will happy to respond about how Democrats don’t believe that the Earth revolves around the sun.  Until maybe we can all shaddap about these surveys for a change?

heliocentric

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Feb
13
2014
10

Keywords: Barack Obama, Cult of Personality, 2010-2020, Democrats

This post is written for researchers from the year 2044 who are wondering about the following:

[MEGYN] KELLY: We heard a lot of objections when President Bush expanded the powers of the presidency from the left and from the media. They haven’t been raising the same objections now that we have a Democrat in The White House. And you say they do so at their own peril.

[JONATHAN] TURLEY: I’m afraid this is beginning to border on a cult of personality for people on the left. I happen to agree with many of President Obama’s policies, but in our system it is often as important how you do something as what you do.

And I think that many people will look back at this period in history and see nothing but confusion as to why people remained so silent when the president asserted these types of unilateral actions.

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Feb
09
2014
3

Quote of the Day, Oh, Yeah, The Democrats Have Already Lost The 2014 House Contest.

While I agree with Glenn Reynolds that this Salena Zito piece about how the primary race for PA-13 is shaping up to be an analogy for the post-Obama Democratic party generally, there’s a really revealing passage in here that I wanted to highlight.

In a year in which Democrats have had a hard time attracting quality candidates for House races — a common occurrence for both parties when they know their chances are slim to win a majority — this race has attracted four qualified candidates.

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Feb
08
2014
2

Motherboard (Vice) thinks that Democratic voters are stupid!

That’s the only way I can make their objection to the NRCC’s parody campaign sites work, in terms of basic logic. I mean, it’s blatantly obvious that the site is a parody…

nrcc

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