So, you’ve probably heard by now of the infamous, frothing, subtly alarming extremist emails that the Democrats have been sending out* trying to troll for cash. In between bouts of being disquieted and amused, I asked myself: Why are they doing it? Clearly there’s a reason. So I reached out to a buddy of mine on Twitter – Rick Wilson, who does actual** campaign work – to get some insider insight. Here’s our conversation:
Apparently, all of the (Democratic) political operatives that the NYT knows are functional sociopaths.
It’s the only explanation for this:
As Congress examines security breaches at the White House, even opposition lawmakers who have spent the last six years fighting his every initiative have expressed deep worry for his security.
…I had a more measured response planned, but Charles Cooke wrote it for me, and I’m not going to give Peter Baker the satisfaction of knowing that he made me swear at him. But, yeah: this is the sort of nonsense that we have to deal with: people who work with monsters… and then assume that the rest of us are just the same kinds of monsters, just with a different colored tie.
It’s really kind of horrible, when you think about it.
‘Too late’ being defined in terms of what I would find amusing or seemly, of course. And the reason for this is simple: the Democratic party’s propagandists – both official and unofficial – are no longer dedicated to winning the 2014 election cycle. What they’re dedicated to right now is the task of keeping their base from panicking.
I could have sworn that I made this analysis before, but I can’t find it, so I guess that I’ll just have to repeat the thought from memory: the 2009 gubernatorial elections in New Jersey and Virginia demonstrate why panic is bad for a political party. In Virginia: the, well, hapless candidate (Creigh Deeds) was widely considered to be DOOMed a month before the election. And the Democrats abandoned him in a panic… and in the process also abandoned all the other candidates, which is one reason why in 2009 state Democrats got decimated in the General Assembly* and lost all three statewide positions. Contrariwise, New Jersey Democrats refused to panic, and they ended up with a situation where Chris Christie won election handily, yet failed to supply coat-tails for pretty much anybody else. (more…)
Excuse me while I give this non-integral and unsecured support beam for the Democratic party base’s sense of self a good, hearty kicking:
Americans’ views of the Democratic and Republican parties are now similar, mainly because of their more positive ratings of the GOP.
Americans view both parties negatively overall, with a 40% favorable and 57% unfavorable rating for the Republican Party, and a 42% favorable and 54% unfavorable rating for the Democratic Party.
Oh, Gallup. Tell the truth: you guys just enjoy watching the chaos that results when you toss a poll like this into the room, don’t you? (more…)
One of the weirder aspects of this gig is all the spam I get from Democrats. For those of you who aren’t in the Life, let me explain: it used to be that signing up for the Other Side’s mailing lists was a relatively easy way to see what agendas and events Democrats were pushing. Makes sense, right? By looking at what they tell their supporters, you get a feel for what the Democrats think is important. And that is often going to be different than what you thought the Democrats think is important.
Alas, like everything else involving the Democrats Barack Obama got his hands on it, and has made the entire exercise useless. Based on my inbox, the important message that Democrats have for their supporters these days is typically either We think Republicans are horrible: give us money or We have a contest. We have a contest. WE HAVE A CONTEST. Give us money. And, indeed, the Democrats get money out of that. The Democrats have also seen their polling numbers slide all summer, and while I have no proof that the two data points are related it certainly sounds like they should be, no? (more…)
This is why.
NBC/WSJ – Voters trust GOP more on all of these top issues: Economy +10 Foreign Policy +18 Immigration +7 Deficit +18 Taxes +4 Defense +38
— Josh Jordan (@NumbersMuncher) September 9, 2014
The Democrats are 18 points in the hole on foreign policy, 38 on defense. I’m trying to remember the last time I’ve seen the Democrats that far behind on those topics. Admittedly, I’m kind of loopy right now from the various cold remedies, so maybe it’s been like this for a while and I just don’t remember; still… those aren’t great numbers. To put it, as they say, mildly.
…and I have never seen the Democrats as rattled going into an election season as I am seeing them right now. This Debbie Wasserman Schultz rhetorical disaster is merely the most obvious example: and the weird thing is, that one was a massively rookie mistake. All joking (and sneering!) aside, the current head of the DNC has been a federal and state legislator for over twenty years. That Schultz managed to still so thoroughly step on the Democrats’ messaging delivery system is astounding.
On the one hand, I understand why they tossed The Shark Tank out of a campaign event on general principles: Javier Manjarres is a born troublemaker*. On the other hand, the Florida Democratic party then had to deal with flak from local news people, given that Javier is in fact local media. On the gripping hand? …Well, Florida Democrats did nominate Charlie Crist, so their judgement wasn’t really all that great in the first place.
Seriously, how bad is it for Florida Democrats right now if they don’t dare have an open media policy?
*I do a little of that myself, hopefully.
I’m impressed. Glenn Reynolds managed to avoid the hysterical laughter at this:
I mean, really: who the heck would talk to House Democrats, at this point? I’m not saying that they have even less influence on ultimate political outcomes than I do, but that’s because I don’t want to sound heedlessly hubristic. Hubris or not, under Nancy Pelosi House Democrats have gone from strength to abject weakness; and they will not return to relevance any time soon.
So… why don’t House Democrats hear from the President? I don’t know: what’s in it for Barack Obama? Legitimate question.
Fine, fine: it’s more like seven-tenths. Three-fifths has more of a… resonance, though.
…there is a racial pay gap in campaign politics. Asian, Black and Latino staffers are paid less than their white counterparts, according to an analysis by the New Organizing Institute.
For example, African-American staffers on Democratic campaigns were paid 70 cents for each dollar their white counterparts made. For Hispanic staffers in Democratic campaigns, the figure was 68 cents on the dollar.
I’m not going to give The Daily Beast opportunities for agitprop: they’re rather desperate to make this a bipartisan problem. However, if you take the time to pull the original numbers by NOI, you’ll find the following: (more…)
It’s a bit early in the season for Turnout will save us!, but the Democrats are determined to give it a try. Stu Rothenberg:
In the face of a challenging midterm environment, Democrats are relying on money and an expanding get-out-the-vote effort to avoid losing any more ground in the House. But what does that souped-up ground game look like?
So, what exactly is their strategy?
Democratic strategists believe a renewed focus on districts with high minority populations (including black and Hispanic voters, for example)…
From a Hill article, discussing the Democrats’ current kitchen sink / spaghetti against the wall / Hail Mary play / spin the chamber and hope it’s the one without the bullet strategy they’ve adopted for the midterms:
Central to the Democrats’ campaign message is their “Middle Class Jumpstart” agenda — a package, unveiled last month, that includes specific proposals to expand education opportunities, empower women in the workplace and promote domestic job creation.
…this is the first I’ve heard of it. Me, the political junkie. And if I haven’t heard of it, even to mock it – and, believe me, I would have mocked it if I had heard of it – then it didn’t succeed as an unveiling. (more…)