Cook’s put up their first assessment of the 2012 election battlespace. It’s reasonable, given the large number of Republican freshmen Congressmen this cycle:
| Rating | Dem | GOP |
| Likely D | 28 | |
| Lean D | 11 | |
| Toss-Up | 4 | 6 |
| Lean R | 14 | |
| Likely R | 37 | |
| Total | 43 | 57 |
| At-Risk | 15 | 20 |
Still, don’t get too attached to these numbers, though: this is all pre-redistricting.
Moe, your link above is broken. When I went to the site and tracked it down, I got:
http://cookpolitical.com/charts/house/competitive_2010-12-07_16-55-53.php
Didn’t look any different than the link I put up, but I replaced it anyway to be on the safe side.