To sum it up: Barack Obama must visit toss-up seats because in the past districts with Presidential visits had a higher retention percentage than districts without them.
This was one of those posts that ended up rambling: the reasons why this isn’t the game-changer that the author thought it was were all trying to crowd in to get the credit for shooting this one down. Really short version: dice may not have memories, but Congressional districts emphatically do. And the President is not actually capable of performing acts of magic. Or even ‘magick.’
Look, you should have seen what I deleted. Borrrr-ring…