Reviewing the August Fundraising numbers.

Wouldn’t you know it: I decide not to do anything consequential and the fundraising numbers become available. Short version: the GOP out-raised the Democrats for the first time since April; the NRSC beat out the DSCC for the second month; the NRCC continues to stay essentially tied with the DCCC; and the Democrats aren’t paying their debt down.

Raised CoH Debts
RNC 7.87 20.97 0.00
DNC 6.89 15.34 5.33
NRSC 3.10 5.10 0.00
DSCC 2.20 6.70 2.90
NRCC 3.15 4.20 2.00
DCCC 3.30 10.73 4.67
GOP 14.12 30.27 2.00
Dem 12.39 32.77 12.90

Continue reading Reviewing the August Fundraising numbers.

Reviewing the July Fundraising numbers.

Short version: Democrats had a good month for the DNC – they beat out the RNC for a change – which was enough to let them end with a edge in amount raised and total cash-on-hand of a couple million. Fortunately, July fundraising for the congressional and senatorial committees was not a repeat of June’s: despite their having a significant edge in membership, the DSCC lagged the NRSC and the DCCC barely edged the NRCC. And the debt still remains significant on the Democrats’ side.

Raised CoH Debts
RNC 6.26 21.84 0.00
DNC 9.29 16.32 5.13
NRSC 2.75 4.43 0.00
DSCC 2.04 7.15 3.33
NRCC 3.08 4.01 2.75
DCCC 3.20 10.22 5.30
GOP 12.09 30.28 2.75
Dem 14.53 33.69 13.76

Continue reading Reviewing the July Fundraising numbers.

RedState Gathering Video: John Randall.

There should be a better video of this coming soon (I wasn’t the only one filming things), but I wanted to make sure that people heard this speech by John Randall, eCampaign Director of the NRCC as soon as possible. He spoke briefly about the need in general for us to hold Democrats’ metaphorical feet to the metaphorical fire:

As you can see, the NRCC is very interested in bringing up the troublesome contradictions of the Democratic Party on health care rationing.

And you should be, too.

Moe Lane

Crossposted to RedState.

Meet Vaughn Ward (R, ID-01).

ID-01: Cook has it as R+18; its current incumbent Walter Minnick won in a squeaker in 2008 thanks to a combination of Democratic headwinds and a poor candidate, and as neither condition is going to be replicated in 2010, he’s currently tacking hard to the center.  Minnick has thus already voted against the ‘stimulus’ and cap-and-trade, and he might even vote against health care rationing; impossible to guarantee, of course, given that he’s a Blue Dog and thus inherently untrustworthy to anybody.  The DCCC will still support him, also of course; taking money from progressives and giving it to equivocators is what they’re there for.

Against him is Vaughn Ward.  Iraq veteran, strong on fiscal conservatism, had a good second quarter – this was a pretty good pick/matchup by the NRCC, in my admittedly biased and amateur opinion.  He’s also something very interesting: a former McCain campaign staffer whom, as Soren Dayton notes here, has received campaign contributions from Todd Palin’s parents.  Somewhat suggestive, at the very least; and if Sarah Palin goes on the stump for candidates anywhere in 2010 it’ll be in places like ID-01.  So keep an eye out on this one.

And contribute too, of course.

Moe Lane

Crossposted to RedState.

Reviewing the June fundraising numbers.

Short version: the Democrats had a good month in their Congressional/Senatorial Committee fundraising (double their previous month’s totals, as well as double their Republican counterparts); the RNC is back to outraising the DNC; cash on hand is at parity, except that the GOP is running with a debt that’s 1/10th of their total and the Democrats are running with one that’s half; and this is all very different than this time in 2007.

Raised CoH Debts
RNC 8.00 23.70 0.00
DNC 6.75 13.03 4.91
NRSC 3.40 4.30 0.00
DSCC 6.20 7.90 3.70
NRCC 3.14 4.16 3.25
DCCC 7.10 9.70 6.00
GOP 14.54 32.16 3.25
Dem 20.05 30.63 14.61

Continue reading Reviewing the June fundraising numbers.

Five House races to look at.

There’s no unifying theme to these choices: they’re merely five candidates for the House of Representatives that the GOP has recruited, supported, or at least working with. There are more – there are, in fact, a good deal more – but these will do for a start. And so, in no particular order:

  • Cory Gardner (CO-04). State legislator.  One of three candidates  for this R+6 seat.  The seat is currently held by Betsy Markey, who not only voted for Cap and Trade; she pretended that she had read it. Gardner is a Tea Party participant, and doing very well in fundraising. Donate here.
  • Charles Djou (HI-01).  City Councilman, Army Reservist.  Candidate for this D+11 seat.  Neil Abercrombie is not seeking re-election, as he is planning to run for Governor of Hawaii: the lack of an incumbent and the general reaction to Djou has this race on a lot of dark horse lists.  Everything needs to work out just right, which is pretty much what we said about Cao down in Louisiana.  Besides, you make ’em fight everywhere.  Donate here.
  • Martha Roby (AL-02).  City Councilwoman with a track record of winning minority votes. Candidate for this R+16 seat.  Bobby Bright is a freshman hanging onto his fingernails, as witnessed by the fact that he was given permission to vote against both the stimulus AND cap and trade.  Martha’s running as a clear conservative, and it’s increasingly looking like she’ll be running in a clear field.  Donate here.
  • Van Tran (CA-47).  State Assemblyman, political refugee.  Candidate for this D+4 seat.  Loretta Sanchez looks untouchable… on paper; but the district went for Bush in 2004, Sanchez has tax and appropriation votes (she’s one of the PMA Porkers) to answer for, and – most importantly – both the GOP and Tran are eager to have a race here.  The Democrats really don’t want to have to fight for this seat.  Donate here.
  • Rick Crawford (AR-01).  Businessman, military veteran.  Candidate for this R+8 seat.  He’s up against Marion Berry, who did not have any opposition last election cycle; Berry also seems to be the type who likes to have creative income disclosures, which I believe that Crawford and the NRCC will be happy to bring up.  As I’ve noted before, Crawford’s pro Tea-Party; and he’s got solid connections with the community.  Donate here.

…and that should get you started.  As I’ve said, these aren’t the only five candidates that the GOP is running; merely five more or less representative ones.  And note that the Republican party is not playing the 2010 elections not to lose; it’s making aggressive moves, and in places where it perhaps was too quick to concede in 2006 and 2008.

This should be an interesting election cycle.

Moe Lane

Crossposted to RedState.

A thought regarding the 2010 elections (House edition).

Just on the off chance that somebody out there is still not on-board with the notion of taking back the House, please contemplate the table below:

Committee Chair Born Age Elected
Ways & Means Charles Rangel 1930 79 1970
Appropriations David Obey 1938 70 1969
Energy & Commerce Henry Waxman 1939 69 1975
Rules Louise Slaughter 1929 79 1987
Financial Services Barney Frank 1940 69 1981
Judiciary John Conyers 1929 80 1965

Those are, generally speaking, the six most powerful committees in the House of Representatives – and if you’ll note carefully, you’ll see that the chairs of them that aren’t pushing seventy are the ones who are pushing eighty* (the average age of Representatives in the 111th Congress is 57).  You’ll also note that the least amount of time-in-Congress for any of them is twenty-eight years; in fact, all but two of them have been in Congress for longer than I’ve been alive, and I’ll be forty next year.  This is not really unexpected (except, of course, by people silly enough to believe that Democratic control of Congress meant a “fresh start,” or some other nonsense): seniority counts for a lot in determining committee assignments.  So what? Continue reading A thought regarding the 2010 elections (House edition).

Why you should be taking advantage of this NRCC offer.

Let’s start with the NRCC’s incentive program for last-minute 2Q donations that they announced yesterday:

Every dollar you give through tomorrow, June 30th, will be quadrupled. So if you give $5, we’ll make it $20. If you can afford $25, we’ll make it $100.

That’s four times the impact of a normal contribution, and it will be put to immediate use replacing Pelosi’s puppets in Congress with principled, conservative Republicans.

At this point, somebody has reflexively started a very long comment on why this offer should be ignored. While he’s writing it, let me explain why you shouldn’t. Continue reading Why you should be taking advantage of this NRCC offer.

How you know when you’ve gotten yourselves in a legislative pickle.

When you have to yank out a potential “Yes” vote from the pickle jar.

Vicious of me, yes, but my sympathy for Pat Kennedy isn’t what you’d call ‘high.’ And my sympathy for the Congressional Democrats for being so in need of his vote to pass their unseen monstrosity of a bill is even lower. Really: at this point, all you’re doing is writing the NRCC‘s campaign ads for them for next year.

And trust me: to quote the classics, they’re going to be open for business. Hi, Debbie Halvorson! Tell us again how independent you are!

Moe Lane

Crossposted to RedState.