The ’13 Hours: The Secret Soldiers of Benghazi’ trailer.

It looks… a bit more serious than the stuff that Michael Bay usually does.

Then again, it’s a serious subject. January 2016, huh? …That’s going to get some people exercised, particularly since even the trailer is making it clear that it’s a movie about Heroic American Mavericks Who Had To Fight Both The Enemy And The Cowards At The State Department.  Which is to say, it’s going to make insane amounts of money domestically. And make a lot of people that I don’t particularly like more-or-less quietly furious. Continue reading The ’13 Hours: The Secret Soldiers of Benghazi’ trailer.

Tweet of the Day, This Is Just Good Advice Generally edition.

I don’t know enough about the lion/dentist thing to really get deep into the weeds with regards to it, but this probably works as a life hack, no matter what your stance is on the topic.

Just plain common sense, that.

I dunno, folks. What *do* you call a socialist who ISN’T an internationalist?

I mean, this is a fascinating moment:

Ezra Klein

You said being a democratic socialist means a more international view. I think if you take global poverty that seriously, it leads you to conclusions that in the US are considered out of political bounds. Things like sharply raising the level of immigration we permit, even up to a level of open borders. About sharply increasing …

Bernie Sanders

Open borders? No, that’s a Koch brothers proposal.

Ezra Klein

Really?

Bernie Sanders

Of course. That’s a right-wing proposal, which says essentially there is no United States. …

Continue reading I dunno, folks. What *do* you call a socialist who ISN’T an internationalist?

Planned Parenthood Sting Video #3: ‘Human Capital.’ Episode 1. [CONTENT WARNING]

CONTENT WARNING.

The video is pretty much three parts: there’s the part where Planned Parenthood swears up and down that they don’t harvest babies for profit. There’s the testimony from a former phlebotomist and tissue harvester that yes, Planned Parenthood harvests babies for profit. And then there’s the (content warning) part where you see a couple of Planned Parenthood staffers casually separate out an aborted baby on a clear pie dish and ask the sting operatives whether said operatives would be willing to buy the… stuff. Oh, and then they made it clear that they want to be paid per item, not per baby: Continue reading Planned Parenthood Sting Video #3: ‘Human Capital.’ Episode 1. [CONTENT WARNING]

Book of the Week: “Beowulf: A Translation and Commentary.”

OK, I admit it: I’m saving JRR Tolkien’s Beowulf: A Translation and Commentary for Pennsic.  Gotta have something to read while I’m waiting for the rain to stop, the dancing to start, or the beer to get cold. But my wife read it, and she liked it, and shoot, it’s JRR Tolkien.  It’s not like I’m taking some kind of hideous risk here.

And so, adieu to A Matter for Men, which was apparently a touch more, ah, controversial a choice than I had hitherto imagined. Continue reading Book of the Week: “Beowulf: A Translation and Commentary.”

Don’t be afraid to get it wrong.

Interesting post here from Sean Trende on how gingerly the pollsters and analysts can treat anything like actual analysis. And believe you me: they do, in fact, worry themselves sick on the subject.  I was struck by this bit in particular:

…this fear of getting it wrong is probably creating a similar herding effect among analysts. In late 2014, Nate Cohn of the New York Times could claim that he wasn’t aware of a single theory for why polls would be biased toward Democrats in 2014. Given how Republicans outperformed the polls in that election, there should have been one (and in fairness, FiveThirtyEight subsequently published a piece that included just such a theory).

Part of the reason the theory didn’t exist might be that journalists and political scientists tend to be left-of-center, so they subconsciously resisted creating hypotheses that favored Republicans. But even people on the right shied away from constructing a pro-Republican electoral theory. A likely explanation for that hesitancy is that, after the unskewed polls debacle of 2012, few wanted to risk suggesting that the polls would be biased toward Democrats, and chance suffering the humiliation that would follow if they were proved wrong. There is safety in numbers for analysts as well.

Continue reading Don’t be afraid to get it wrong.